New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins prediction and odds

The new NFL season promises a very close battle in the AFC East and the coming clash between division rivals promises to be exciting. The Patriots lost in Week 1, while the Dolphins won a wild game vs the Chargers. Both teams have weapons with which they can hurt each other. Which team would prevail as they battle for supremacy?  Read on for our Patriots vs Dolphins predictions and preview.

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Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA
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New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins – game predictions

Below you can find our Patriots vs Dolphins predictions. For more of our NFL betting tips and NFL player props suggestions follow these links.

Prediction 1: Kyle Dugger over 4.5 defensive tackles + assists @ -138 (8/11)

Patriots’ safety Kyle Dugger had a strong Week 1 with 5 tackles and 3 assists. Dugger had 3 interception touchdowns last season, with the last of those being in the January win vs the Dolphins when he ran for 39 yards. Dugger will fancy his chances to make another big play against Miami and we expect him to easily cover his tackles + assists spread.

Prediction 2: Tua Tagovailoa over 0.5 interceptions @ -125 (4/5)  

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The Dolphins are a passing team In Week 1 they had 466 passing yards, ranked 1st, and only 77 rushing yards, ranked 27th. Now, they are up against the most efficient pass-rush duo in the entire league and this could spell trouble for QB Tua Tagovailoa. Josh Uche and Matthew Judon amassed 29 sacks combined since the start of 2022. They got a sack each in Week 1. All this makes us think that Tua will be forced to make early throws often. This significantly increases the chances of him throwing an interception at some stage of the game.

Tua threw for 3 TD in Week 1 but he also had an interception. This only backs our belief that he will throw another one in the coming match too.

Patriots vs Dolphins preview – can the Tua’s men swim away with a W?

The Giants will be desperate to reduce their giveaways and the easiest way to do that is to put the ball in the hands of Saquon Barkley and let him run. Will the Cardinals be ready for that?

New England Patriots form, news and injuries

The Patriots lost 20-25 vs the Eagles in Week 1. The display was not too bad and only the inability to make a big play in the second half prevented Belichick’s men from causing an upset. The pass-rush worked very well once more and relying on their defence the Patriots should dominate the scrimmage line in the coming matchup.

New England Patriots injury report:

  • OT Trent Brown – questionable
  • G Cole Strange –  questionable
  • G Mike Onwenu –  questionable
  • WR DeVante Parker – questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones –  questionable
  • G Sidy Sow –  questionable
  • S Cody Davis – out
  • DE Trey Flowers – out
  • CB Jack Jones – on IR list (out)
  • OT Riley Reiff – on IR list (out)
  • WR Tyquan Thornton – on IR list (out)
  • CB Isaiah Bolden – on IR list (out)
  • WR Tre Nixon – on IR list (out)
  • LB Terez Hall – on IR list (out)

Miami Dolphins form, news and injuries

Miami won a wild Week 1 game vs the Chargers 36-24. There were 7 lead changes, nearly a thousand total yards, 60 combined first downs. Tua was one of only 3 QBs to get 3 passing touchdowns in Week 1.

Tua Tagovailoa is 4-0 against coach Belichick and he will try to become only the second-ever QB to record 5 consecutive wins against the legendary head coach.

Miami Dolphins injury report:

  • LB Jaelan Phillips – questionable
  • OT Terron Armstead – questionable
  • TE Julian Hill – questionable
  • S Elijah Campbell – questionable
  • CB Nik Needham – out
  • CB Kelvin Joseph –  out
  • CB Keion Crossen – on IR list (out)
  • CB Jalen Ramsey – on IR list (out)
  • RB Jeff Wilson Jr. – on IR list (out)
  • G Robert Jones – on IR list (out)

Patriots vs Dolphins head-to-head record

Here are the last 5 results:

  • 01.01.23 NFL New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins 23-21
  • 11.09.22 NFL Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 20-7
  • 09.01.22 NFL Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 33-24
  • 12.09.21 NFL New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins 16-17
  • 20.12.20 NFL Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 22-12

Key match details

  • Date & Time: Sunday, September 17, 2023, 08:20 p.m. ET / 01:20 a.m. GMT (Monday, September 18)
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, New England
  • Where to watch the match in the UK: Sky Sports (TV), fuboTV, or the NFL App

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About the author


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball careers as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early.

Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passion, writing. For over a decade, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise.