Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction and odds

The Washington Commanders will visit the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 4 with the top spot in the NFC East at stake. The Commanders (2-1) suffered their first loss of the young season last Sunday against the Buffalo Bills, while the Eagles (3-0) continued their winning ways with a victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Philadelphia Eagles running back D'Andre Swift leaps over Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr.
Sep 25, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back D’Andre Swift (0) leaps over Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (31) in the third quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon Sport

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders – game predictions

The Eagles are an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 43.5 points. Philadelphia opened as a -7.5 favorite, but the line has moved up a point for this division showdown.

Prediction 1: Jalen Hurts Over 230.5 Passing Yards @ -110 (1.91)

Hurts threw for 277 yards on Monday night against the Buccaneers as the Eagles offense moved the chains at will until it reached the red zone. The Commanders’ pass defense is ranked 13th because Joshua Dobbs posted 132 passing yards in Week 1. Russell Wilson torched Washington for 308 yards and connected on two throws for 50 or more yards. A.J. Brown is heating up and caught nine of 14 targets for 131 yards against Tampa Bay. Look for Hurts to connect with Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert on several “chunk” plays to easily crack 230.5 passing yards against a leaky Commanders pass defense.

Prediction 2: Logan Thomas Over 2.5 Receptions @ -115 (1.87)

Thomas has cleared concussion protocol and will return Sunday after missing Week 3. The Commanders’ tight ends caught six of nine targets last week and should be busy again this week with an unfavorable game script. Thomas caught four balls in the season opener and had two receptions the following week before exiting the game with a concussion. The Eagles have allowed opposing tight ends to catch 18 of 22 targets for 187 yards and three touchdowns. Thomas should have no problem eclipsing 2.5 receptions in a contest where Washington will be in comeback mode.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders odds

Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Eagles at -400 (1.25) odds are the more likely winners and have an implied win probability of 78.3%, while The Commanders at +300 (4) odds have a 26.0% chance to win this game.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders – Can Washington upset Philadelphia again this year?

The Eagles were the NFL’s lone undefeated team last season when the double-digit underdog Washington Commanders beat Philadelphia in a primetime Monday Night Football matchup by 11 points at Lincoln Financial Field.

Philadelphia Eagles form, news and injuries

D’Andre Swift is the league’s second-leading rusher with 308 yards and is averaging 6.8 yards per carry. Jalen Hurts has thrown three touchdown passes and ran for three more scores. Haason Reddick will play his first game this season without a cast on his thumb/hand. The Eagles are on track to be without two of their top four safeties this week.

Philadelphia Eagles injury report

S Justin Evans (Neck) – Questionable
S Sydney Brown (Hamstring) – Out
WR Quez Watkins (Hamstring) – Out

Washington Commanders form, news and injuries

Sam Howell has been sacked a league-high 19 times and is on pace to be sacked 107 times, which would shatter the NFL record of 76. First-round pick Emmanuel Forbes has been on the field for just 57 percent of the team’s defensive snaps. Washington has surrendered a whopping 72 points over the last two weeks.

Washington Commanders injury report

S Percy Butler (Foot) – Questionable
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Illness) – Out

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders head to head record

The Commanders lead the all-time series 89-82-5, but have lost three of the last four meetings:

2022: Commanders won 32-21 in Philadelphia
2022: Eagles won 24-8 in Washinton
2022: Eagles won 20-16 in Washinton
2021: Eagles won 27-17 in Philadelphia
2021: Commanders won 20-14 in Philadelphia

Key match details

• Date & Time: Sunday, October 1, 2023, 01:00 p.m. ET
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Where to watch match in UK: FuboTV or other live stream

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