2023 NFL Draft Props – Best Betting Tips for Draft Day

2023 NFL Draft Props – Best Betting Tips for Draft Day
Georgia quarterback Stetson Bennett (13) congratulates left tackle Broderick Jones in the fourth quarter against TCU in the 2023 NCAA College Football National Championship. Photo by Jon SooHoo/UPI/ABACAPRESS.COM - Photo by Icon sport

The 2023 NFL Draft begins Thursday at 8 p.m. ET with the first round taking place. The event is being held at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. 

Rounds two and three will resume Friday, followed by four through seven on Saturday.

In this article, we will provide tips for three NFL Draft prop bets.

2023 NFL Draft Prop Bets

Christian Gonzalez, Michael Mayer and Broderick Jones all present value with their draft position props.

Christian Gonzalez (CB, Oregon) Draft Position under 8.5 @ 10/13 (-130)

Christian Gonzalez is considered by many scouts, executives and NFL NextGen Stats to be the best cover corner in the 2023 NFL Draft

The defensive back position is vital in the NFL, and lockdown defenders don’t grow on trees. Corners are valued extremely high and have been picked early in the past five drafts. Last year, two cornerbacks, Derek Stingley Jr. and Sauce Gardner, were taken with the third and fourth picks.

DBs taken inside the top 8 picks (last five years)

  • 2022: 2 
  • 2021: 1 
  • 2020: 1 
  • 2019: 0
  • 2018: 1

Four franchises holding top-eight draft picks, including Arizona, Detroit, Las Vegas and Atlanta, are all in need of a corner. 

There are even rumblings of the Seahawks trading up for Gonzalez if Pete Carroll is trying to rebuild a second Legion of Boom and pair Tariq Woolen with Gonzalez.

Gonzalez’s measurables are top-tier. His 6-foot-1 frame makes him a tall defender that can match up with large receivers. 

At the combine, the Colony, Texas native ran an astounding 4.38 40-yard dash and had a 41.5-inch vertical. The NFL NextGen stats model gave Gonzalez the No.1 ranked defensive back total score of 92. He’s considered to be an immediate day-one starter with All-Pro potential.

The 20-year-old led Oregon with four interceptions and seven pass breakups, recorded 50 tackles and blocked a kick in 12 starts, earning him a spot on the first team of the Pac-12.

Detroit could easily take Gonzalez at No. 6, having recently parted ways with top corner Jeff Okudah who is now with Atlanta. The Falcons could even be in the mix since they released Casey Hayward and are in the market for a DB.

The majority of mock drafts by experts have Gonzalez being selected between picks six and eight.

Michael Mayer (TE, Notre Dame) Draft Position Under 23.5 @ 5/8 (-160)

The Notre Dame product made history at the university during his three years, becoming the all-time leader at tight end in catches, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns.

During his senior season, the Kentucky native led the team with 67 receptions for 809 yards (12.1 per catch) and recorded nine touchdowns (broke his own school record).

The 21-year-old earned first-team AP All-American Honors and was a finalist for the John Mackey Award for the nation’s best tight end in his final campaign at Notre Dame.

In all three years with Fighting Irish, Mayer hauled in 180 catches for 2,099 yards and 18 touchdowns. At the 2023 NFL Draft Scouting Combine, he posted a 4.7-second 40-yard sprint and a 32.5-inch vertical.

Although many tight ends aren’t often taken during the first round, Mayer and Dalton Kincaid (Utah) are the top two prospects, far ahead of the rest on many models. Both will likely go in the first round, and once one is taken, the other should follow very close behind.

CBS has Mayer as the top-rated tight end in the class, and ranks him second behind Kincaid. 

The Packers (pick No. 13), Lions (No. 18) and Chargers (No. 21) are three teams in desperate need of tight end help and have a strong chance at selecting Mayer before the 24th pick (under 23.5).

Mayer is considered to be an elite tight end who can be a productive long-term starter with an elite pass-catching ability and good blocking skills.

Alternate Bet

If you’re more confident in Kincaid, the Utah product is -125 on Bet365 to be selected earlier than 24.5.

Broderick Jones (OT, Georgia) Draft Position: Under 15.5 @ 1/2 (-200)

The Georgia tackle is very likely to go under 15.5, with as many as five teams in the top 15 needing to bolster their offensive line.

At the 15th pick, the Jets will look to draft protection for newly acquired quarterback Aaron Rodgers and should Jones fall to 15th, he’ll probably be selected.

Paris Johnson, the top-rated offensive lineman in the 2023 NFL Draft, will likely help Jones get taken at 15th or sooner.  

Johnson is projected to go inside the first 10 picks. On William Hill Sportsbook, the tackle is -325 to be drafted at 9th or earlier. Once he’s taken off the board, teams will begin to scramble to take the next highest-rated offensive linemen.

Jones was initially expected to be a mid-to-late first-round pick but performed well in the combine, which boosted his stock. The tackle scored an excellent 85 overall by NFL NextGen Stats and scouts at the combine, which ranked him second-best among tackles.

Compared to offensive tackle prospects with greater experience, Jones is a little more raw, but he excelled in his 19 starts. 

The 6-foot-5, 311-pounder started the final four games of the 2021 season, which included an SEC Championship, CFP Semifinal, and Championship. He won back-to-back national championships with Georgia and started every game as a senior.

Alternate Bet

If you’re confident he’ll be taken even before the Jets at 15, Bet365 is offering Jones at +140 to be selected under 14.5.

What is a prop bet?

A prop bet, also known as a proposition bet, is a form of side wager on aspects of a game or event that might not have any bearing on the result in the end.

For example, if a bettor placed a wager on an NFL Draft prop when a specific player was to be drafted, only the position where he is taken matters. The rest of the draft picks do not affect the outcome.

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