Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction and odds

The Jacksonville Jaguars can seek some playoff revenge and drop the Chiefs to 0-2 with a big home win on Sunday. The Chiefs are looking to get two of their best players back (Travis Kelce and Chris Jones) after losing the opener without them.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction
Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs – Game predictions

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point home underdog with a total of 51.5 points. The spread opened Chiefs -3 and has held steadily in favor of the Chiefs with the improving news of the status of their star players.

Prediction 1: Trevor Lawrence over 35.5 pass attempts @ -130 (1.77)

While the attention is on the Kansas City offense, it is Jacksonville’s offense that has to make sure it is producing points with the passing game in this matchup. Last season, Trevor Lawrence had 39 and 40 pass attempts in the losses against the Chiefs. He will be at home and has Calvin Ridley this time, which should add to the team’s willingness to throw and keep pace with Patrick Mahomes.

Prediction 2: Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer @ -140 (1.71)

Mahomes certainly missed Travis Kelce in Week 1. He missed anyone who could catch for that matter. But Kelce is his most reliable target everywhere on the field, especially in the red zone. Kelce scored touchdowns in both games against Jacksonville last year and he has scored in 3 straight season debuts for the team. He should be a great scoring option again this week.

Jaguars vs Chiefs preview – Is Ridley the difference?

The Jaguars were outmatched against the Chiefs last year, but they did have chances in both games by producing a plus-3 turnover margin in the first meeting and watching Mahomes suffer a high ankle sprain in the first quarter of the playoff rematch. But the Jaguars need more scoring to beat Kansas City, which despite Week 1’s loss, the Chiefs are still 55-4 with Mahomes when allowing fewer than 27 points.

Jacksonville Jaguars form, news and injuries

The Jaguars escaped a battle with the Colts in Week 1. Calvin Ridley was excellent in his debut, which was his first game played since 2021. He already caught a touchdown from Lawrence. The defense could be a little sharper, but it did hold the Colts to 14 points and stuffed the run.

Jacksonville Jaguars injury report:

  • G Brandon Scherff (Ankle) – Questionable
  • C Luke Fortner (Ankle) – Questionable
  • DE Tyler Lacy (Hip) – Questionable
  • CB Gregory Junior (Hamstring) – Questionable
  • S Antonio Johnson (Hamstring) – Questionable
  • OLB Dawuane Smoot (Achilles) – Out
  • DT DaVon Hamilton (Back) – Out
  • WR Jaylon Moore (Knee) – Out
  • LB Ventrell Miller (Achilles) – Out
  • OT Cooper Hodges (Knee) – Out

Kansas City Chiefs form, news and injuries

After watching so many other teams struggle to score in Week 1, the Chiefs’ loss to Detroit did not look so bad in hindsight. The return of Kelce and Jones should help a lot, and getting Kadarius Toney to catch anything would be helpful. Toney had one of his best games against Jacksonville last regular season, so we will see if the team tries to rebuild his confidence.

Kansas City Chiefs injury report:

  • TE Travis Kelce (Knee) – Questionable
  • CB L’Jarius Sneed (Knee) – Questionable
  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Illness) – Questionable
  • TE Jody Fortson (Shoulder) – Out
  • S Nazeeh Johnson (Knee) – Out

Jaguars vs Chiefs head to head record

Kansas City leads the all-time series 9-6. Here are the last 5 matchup results:

  • 2022 (AFC divisional): Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20 in Kansas City
  • 2022: Chiefs 27, Jaguars 17 in Kansas City
  • 2019: Chiefs 40, Jaguars 26 in Jacksonville
  • 2018: Chiefs 30, Jaguars 14 in Kansas City
  • 2016: Chiefs 19, Jaguars 14 in Kansas City

Key match details

  • Date & Time: Sunday, September 17, 2023, 01:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: TIAA Bank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL
  • Where to watch match in UK: Sky Sports TV, fuboTV, or other live stream

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