Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys prediction and odds

The Arizona Cardinals and the Dallas Cowboys will collide in a Week 3 intraconference matchup at State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals (0-2) have dropped two games by a combined seven points, while the Cowboys (2-0) have outscored opposing teams 70 to 10.

Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard carries the ball against the New York Jets
Sep 17, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard (20) runs the ball against New York Jets safety Jordan Whitehead (3) in the third quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon Sport

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys – game predictions

The Cowboys are a massive 12.5-point home favorite with a total of 43 points. Dallas opened as a -10.5 favorite and should improve to 3-0 ATS this season with a convincing win.

Prediction 1: Dak Prescott Over 233.5 Passing Yards @ -110 (1.91)

Prescott has thrown for over 233 yards in 15 of the Cowboys’ last 21 regular season wins. The 23rd-ranked Cardinals pass defense allows 234 passing yards per game and surrendered 321 yards to Daniel Jones in Week 2. Top wideout CeeDee Lamb should find the end zone for the first time this season and has two catches for 30-plus yards. Even with a game script that will be run-heavy in the second half, Prescott will only need a few big plays in the passing game to reach 234 yards.

Prediction 2: Zach Ertz Over 3.5 Receptions @ -155 (1.65)

Ertz is averaging six catches each week and has logged 18 targets in two games. The former Pro Bowler has a target share of nearly 30% and will be a favorite target of quarterback Joshua Dobbs, who must rely on quick passes to his tight ends to neutralize the Cowboys’ ferocious pass rush. Dobbs is averaging 30.5 throws per outing and could tally 40 or more passes this week in comeback mode. Ertz should easily eclipse 3.5 catches in a contest where the Cardinals will need to air it out to keep the game competitive.

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys – Can Dallas Defense Dominate Without Trevon Diggs?

Diggs suffered a season-ending knee injury in practice this week, but the Cowboys have incredible depth on defense. Nickel corner DaRon Bland has six interceptions in 19 games and will replace Diggs on the outside.

Arizona Cardinals form, news and injuries

James Connor is the workhorse for the league’s 10th-ranked rushing attack, with 168 yards on 37 carries. Linebacker Dennis Gardeck has three sacks for a defensive unit ranked third with 10. The Cardinals have converted just eight of 24 third downs and have been flagged 17 times for 179 yards.

Arizona Cardinals injury report

DT Leki Fotu (Shoulder) – Questionable
DT Carlos Watkins (Biceps) – Out
LB Josh Woods (Ankle) – Out

Dallas Cowboys form, news and injuries

The Cowboys boast the NFL’s top-ranked scoring offense and have allowed a league-low 10 points heading into Week 3. A dominant Dallas defense tops the league with 10 sacks and five interceptions. The Cowboys have converted nearly 50% of their 31 third downs while limiting opponents to six successful conversions in 26 tries. Micah Parsons (3), Osa Odighizuwa (3), and Dorance Armstrong (2) have combined for eight of the Cowboys 10 sacks.

Dallas Cowboys injury report

C Tyler Biadasz (Hamstring) – Questionable
G Zack Martin (Ankle) – Ankle
CB Trevon Diggs (Knee) – Out

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys head to head record

The Cowboys lead the all-time series 56-34-1 but have lost six of the last seven meetings:

2022: Cardinals won 25-22 in Dallas
2020: Cardinals won 38-10 in Dallas
2017: Cowboys won 28-17 in Arizona
2014: Cardinals won 28-17 in Dallas
2011: Cardinals won 19-13 in Arizona

Key match details

Date & Time: Sunday, September 24, 2023, 04:25 p.m. ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona
Where to watch match in UK: Sky Sports (TV), fuboTV, or other live stream

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