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The 2023 Tour de France is about to finish. The race has been ran, all 4 jerseys have their winners. The podiums in the different categories have their new faces too. The tears have been shed, the pains have numbed. The iconic Stage 21 of the 2023 Tour de France has come, and so has the time for champagne toasts and Champs-Élysées. Of course, there is also the ‘small’ matter of who will win the most prestigious field sprint in the world. Here are our Tour de France Stage 21 odds and predictions.
Jasper Philipsen Outright winner
Mads Pedersen Each-way
Alexander Kristoff Dark Horse
*These odds from bet365 were correct at the time of writing.
- 1 Tour de France Stage 21 Profile
- 2 Our Betting Tips and Predictions for Tour de France Stage 21
- 3 Tour de France Stage 21 Odds
Tour de France Stage 21 Profile
Stage 21 on Sunday, July 23rd, is one of the more iconic racing days of the cycling calendar every year. The short, only 115,1km final stage of the 2023 Tour de France, starts on the outskirts of the eternal city in Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines. As is the tradition it will begin with a parade and all the riders will get the chance to enjoy champagne toast while gently rolling towards Paris. The action will start in earnest once the group enters the French capital.
Stage 21 ends with 8 laps of a finishing circuit around Paris and as the tradition it culminates with the most famous sprint finish in the world at the iconic Champs-Élysées. Winning this one stage gives the winner lots of publicity and the riders will be pushing hard at the end of 3 gruelling weeks.
Once the riders reach the eight laps of a finishing circuit that loops around the Arc de Triomphe and the Place de la Concorde the pace will become frantic as they race at break-neck speed through the City f Light. The excitement is guaranteed with the sprinters’ teams setting up their fast men for the most prestigious field sprint in the world, while at the same time, opportunists take turns launching ambitious and doomed-to-fail attacks at the front in a bid to upset them.
Can somebody upset the ‘Tour’s fastest man’ Jasper Philipsen as he hunts for his 5th stage win of this year’s edition?
Our Betting Tips and Predictions for Tour de France Stage 21
With the Tour de France Stage 21 odds all about the sprinters here are our own Stage 21 odds and predictions.
Our Outright Prediction: Jasper Philipsen @ 1/2 (1.50)
The winner of this year’s green jersey and the winner of 4 sprint stages during the 2023 Tour de France Jasper Philipsen comes into stage 21 as the heavy favourite. The flying Belgian knows how to win at Champs-Élysées, he did that last year. He’s by far the fastest man out there once he gets going and we think it will be very hard for somebody to upset him. Philipsen is our main pick for the stage win and we really think that only a major miscalculation on his part would give anybody else a chance.
Our Each-way Prediction: Mads Pedersen @ 1/4 (1.25)
With our each-way pick, it pays out for a top 3 finish, we select the only sprinter that actually beat Philipsen in a sprint finish during this year’s Tour. Mads Pedersen already won a stage earlier this week, he will finish clear 2nd in the overall sprinters’ standings and we fancy his each-way chances.
Pedersen is a powerful sprinter who can generate his own speed. He had 4 top-3 finishes already during this Tour and we think he will fancy another one at the most famous sprint of the cycling world too.
Our Dark Horse Prediction: Alexander Kristoff @ 33/1 (34.00)
For our dark horse winner pick we select the veteran Norwegian sprinter Alexander Kristoff. Kristoff might be past his best years but he remains a dangerous rider if he can get on the slick stream of those in front of him.
Actually, the main reason why we like Kristoff as our dark horse is that he has proven he knows how to win at Champs-Élysées. Kristoff won both in 2018 and 2019 on the final day of the Tour in Paris. This invaluable experience should give the Norwegian an edge over most of the riders.
Tour de France Stage 21 Odds
Now we’ve made our picks here are the odds for the top 10 favourites to win Stage 21:
Jasper Philipsen 1/2 (1.50)
Mads Pedersen 5/1 (6.00)
Dylan Groenewegen 6/1 (7.00)
Sam Welsford 20/1 (21.00)
Kasper Asgreen 28/1 (29.00)
Christophe Laporte 28/1 (29.00)
Biniam Girmay 28/1 (29.00)
Bryan Coquard 33/1 (34.00)
Alexander Kristoff 33/1 (34.00)
Mathieu Van Der Poel 33/1 (34.00)
All of our 3 picks from above are among the top 10 favourites for the stage win. It’s obvious from the odds of the bookmakers that anyone but Philipsen winning will be considered an upset. This is a sprint finish though so anything could happen and the field of sprinters is still pretty talented.
Pedersen, our each-way pick, already beat Philipsen once in a sprint this week. Groenewegen finished close 2nd to Philipsen twice in week 1, Coquard is a fierce sprinter that would love to win at Champs-Élysées as he is a proud Frenchman too. Also, there are sprinters like our dark horse pick Kristoff, who know how to win in Paris and will try to find a way to cause an upset. Place in history awaits the winner of the most prestigious field sprint in the world! Who will that be?
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