Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Game 4 Prediction and Odds: 2023 NBA Playoffs

The Golden State Warriors can even the series with the Sacramento Kings in the first round of the NBA playoffs. The Warriors won Game 3 in convincing fashion at home despite Draymond Green serving a one-game suspension.

These odds from William Hill were correct at the time of writing.

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA
Photo by Icon Sport

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings – Game Predictions

It was an ugly Game 3 with neither team shooting better than 40%, but the Warriors were in control wire-to-wire in the victory. Now they are a 7.5-point favorite in Game 4 with a total of 237 points.

Prediction 1: Golden State Warriors to Cover the Spread (-7.5)

It is frustrating to watch, but the Warriors continue to be elite at home and terrible on the road. The Warriors are now 28-13-1 ATS (68.3%) at home this year, the only team above 65%. The Warriors also cover 63.9% of the time as a home favorite. The Kings have struggled from three in this series, and that is a bad recipe to go on the road to face the Warriors. With Green back in the lineup, look for Golden State to tie this series at 2-2 with another convincing win and cover.

Prediction 2: Steph Curry Over 5.5 Assists

Steph Curry had only 3 assists in Game 3, but that is misleading because he was charted with 5 secondary assists from Those are plays where he passed the ball and a teammate made another pass within a second that led to an assist. The Warriors moved the ball great in Game 3, and they should do it again in this one at home. Curry’s teammates shot just 3-of-13 on his potential assists, so he should be good for over 5.5 helpers this time around.

Warriors vs Kings Preview – Draymond’s Drama Returns

The momentum is swinging in favor of the Warriors, who will welcome Green back from suspension to give them another key piece. Andrew Wiggins is also getting better with each game after missing the last two months of the regular season.

Golden State Warriors News, Injuries, and Starting Lineups

The Warriors are in good shape when they can win a game by 17 points despite Green’s suspension and shooting struggles from Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole. But the Kings’ No. 25 defense has not had answers for Steph Curry, who is averaging 31.3 points per game in this series. But the Warriors must continue defending home court with how bad things have gone on the road this season.

Golden State Warriors Injury Report:

  • Gary Payton II (illness) is probable
  • Jordan Poole (left ankle sprain) is probable
  • Andre Iguodala (left wrist) is out
  • Ryan Rollins (right foot surgery) is out

Golden State Warriors Starting Lineup:

Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, and Kevon Looney.

Sacramento Kings News, Injuries, and Starting Lineups

Sacramento’s No. 1 offense only has five games this season with fewer than 100 points scored, but it has happened in 3-of-5 games now. The Kings are shooting 42.9% from the field and 27.4% from three in this series. They were the No.2 in FG% in the regular season, so this has been disappointing and will need to improve immediately. The Kings have been a great road team this year, but we saw none of that in Game 3. This is why the Warriors are No. 3 on defense at home and No. 28 on the road.

Sacramento Kings Injury Report:

  • Matthew Dellavedova (finger) is out

Sacramento Kings Starting Lineup:

De’Aaron Fox, Kevin Huerter, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, and Domantas Sabonis.

Warriors vs Kings Head to Head Record In 2023

The Warriors now lead the season series 4-3, and their 17-point win in Game 4 was the most decisive game yet this season when the two teams played their starters.

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Game Details

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

  • Date & Time: Sunday, April 23, 2023, 03:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Chase Center – San Francisco, California
  • Where to watch match in UK: Sky Sports (TV), fuboTV, or other live stream

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Scott Kacsmar

Scott lives in Pittsburgh and has two decades of experience with analyzing NFL data, NBA data, and writing data-driven articles and predictions. His work has been featured on Sports Illustrated, ESPN Insider, and FiveThirtyEight.