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With the new 2023-24 NBA Season in full swing now we decided to bring you some exciting new betting opportunities. From now on until the final game of the season, we will be giving you two or three free NBA betting predictions every day. All will be on players props and to find out more about our picks for today, plus what players props are, read below.
The best NBA Player Props today
Contents
Jamal Murray over 3.5 rebounds
Our first NBA players props prediction backs Jamal Murray to get back to rebounding when the Nuggets travel to Oklahoma City. Murray’s averaging just 1.5 rebounds per game for his first 2 matches this season. However, this is way below his normal and we think he will start improving those numbers soon.
Murray averaged 4.0 or more rebounds per game for all of the last 4 seasons and all we back him to do is to get back to the numbers he’s been consistently putting in for a number of years.
Odds: 1.63 (-160)
Damian Lillard under 30.5 points
Our second NBA players props tip looks at the newest Buck Dame Lillard. Lillard had a memorable debut for Milwaukee the other night when posting 39 points vs the 76ers. He is more than capable of scoring 30+ points against anyone on any given night.
However, in a new environment and in a team led by another player and with numerous others also wanting to get into the action we think Dame Lillard will focus more on getting everyone involved in the next few games.
Lillard averaged 32.2 points per game last season when he was the only big star at Portland. In previous years when he was surrounded by better players, just like is the case now in Milwaukee, Lillard averaged only 24 and 28.8 points per game. We can see Lillard’s assists going up now in game 2 but his scoring going down.
Odds: 1.83 (-120)
Anthony Davis over 1.5 turnovers
Our final NBA players props tip focuses on the Lakers and their inconsistent All-Star Anthony Davis. Just like last season and the one before AD keeps blowing hot and cold and struggles for consistency.
One thing AD has been consistent for the past 8 years is that he averaged 2 or more turnovers per game. More of the same has been witnessed this season with AD registering 2 turnovers in each of the 2 games played. That’s why we think he will remain consistent at least in that department and will produce at least 2 turnovers in the tough away test vs the Kings.
Odds: 1.53 (-188)
Our guide to NBA Player Specials – NBA Players Prop betting explained
We’ll get specific now! While you can see a bunch of free NBA betting tips already, let us explain in detail what player prop bets are.
How it works
A player prop bet is basically a wager on a specific player’s statistics for a specific game. The most common players’ props are wagered on a game-to-game basis but there are options to pick over/under wager for a player’s entire playoff run, or an entire series.
The main advantage of betting on NBA Players Props Tonight instead of full-game wagers is that there are far fewer variables that could go wrong. Wagering on teams one needs to consider all players on the court when placing a bet, picking a player prop means that one needs to worry only about a single player. For example, Ja Morant scored 45 points, easily covering his spread, against the Lakers in Game 3 and yet the Grizzlies lost.
Types of NBA Players Props
The most common player prop is over/under on how many points a player will score in a certain match. Of course, there are the same over/under options for practically every official stat out there: assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, 3PT FG made, turnovers, and even +/-. There are also players props for a double-double, a triple-double, or points + rebounds/assists total. Generally, the choice is so rich and the combinations endless that many bettors start to focus more and more on the players’ props markets.
Extra notes
We want to stress that there are no players’ props for every player on each team. On average, a bookmaker will select 5 players from each team and give them over/under odds for a certain category.
Our tips for NBA prop betting
Finally, we wish to give you some tips on how to successfully make your own picks when it comes to picking your own NBA players props today. This is how we do it, anyway.
Current form
Naturally, the most important factor we analyse when we select our NBA Players Props Tonight offers is the form of the player we chose to back. This is especially important now in the playoffs when teams match for the entire series, so certain players will have good and others bad matchups. For example, it’s pointless to blindly back Donovan Mitchell to go over his points spread every game vs the Knicks just based on his regular season average if clearly, he’s struggling to score against their defence in 2-3 consecutive games. That’s why we analyse every players form in that certain series closely before we decide to back them.
Circumstances
We’re talking about picking NBA Players Props Tonight during the NBA Playoffs here, so the circumstances regarding at what stage any series plays a vital role in selecting players’ props. For instance, the main scorer of a team that is 1-3 down in a series and faces elimination is far more likely to go over their points spread than someone from a team that leads 3-1. If the circumstances hint at desperation, as inevitably they do for every team in the playoffs then this should be factored in when one selects their players’ props. We always do that ourselves.
Grouping player props bets
We believe that grouping two or even three NBA Players Props is a very useful strategy. For example, if we think that James Harden will go over his assist spread then we will seriously consider also Joel Embiid to go over his scoring spread.
General outcome
We never dismiss what we think the general outcome of a certain match will be. For example, if we think the Lakers will be in for a blowout win and most of their regulars will sit out the 4th quarter then we’ll probably stay away from LeBron James going over his points spread. Or, if we believe that the key to getting the win in a certain matchup is how well both teams rebound we’ll seriously consider the 2 best rebounders at each end to go over their rebound spread.
In general, we think there is huge potential in betting on NBA Players specials and we will be giving you 3 free betting tips every day from now until the end of the last NBA game of the 2022-23 season.
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