Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Game 6 Prediction and Odds: 2023 NBA Playoffs

The Los Angeles Lakers can advance in the NBA playoffs after leading 3-1 against the Memphis Grizzlies. The Lakers had a rough Game 5 on the road, but the Grizzlies will have to prove they can win a big road game as an underdog.

These odds from William Hill were correct at the time of writing.

LeBron James
Karen Pulfer Focht – Photo by Icon sport

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies – Game Predictions

The Lakers are a 4.5-point home favorite with a total of 218.5 points. Every game in this series has been decided by at least 10 points except for Game 4, which went to overtime with the Lakers winning 117-111.

Prediction 1: Los Angeles Lakers to Cover the Spread (-4.5)

The Lakers really have to treat this one as a must-win game as Game 7 in the NBA is usually very unkind to the road team. But the good news is Memphis is 2-14 ATS as a road underdog, by far the worst record in the NBA this season. The Lakers are only 12-13 ATS as a home favorite, but it is important to note that LeBron James has never seen his team blow a 2-game lead in a best-of-seven series. The Lakers started Game 5 flat, then were embarrassed on a 19-2 run to close the third. They will get things rolling at home better with James bouncing back from one of his worst playoff games ever, Anthony Davis playing well, and the role players helping out to overcome the Grizzlies and end this series.

Prediction 2: Under 218.5

Three of the last four games in this series finished under 218.5 points, and these teams have not exactly been putting on a shooting clinic. Out of 16 playoff teams, the Lakers (107.9) and Grizzlies (106.9) rank 12th and 14th in Offensive Rating this postseason. They also rank 14th and 15th in eFG%. The over only hits in 43.2% of LA home games and in 44.2% of Memphis road games this season. Also, the over hits in 39.3% of conference games for Memphis, the second-lowest rate in the league. With the defensive intensity picking up, we will take the under.

Lakers vs Grizzlies Preview – Is LeBron’s Foot Worse Than Imagined?

With 22.2 points per game, this is the third-lowest scoring series of the 51 playoff series in LeBron’s career. Is the 38-year-old legend saving his best game for last, or is he more hurt than we know?

Los Angeles Lakers News, Injuries, and Starting Lineups

The Lakers are still heavily favored to win the series, but there has to be a concern over the shot of LeBron James. He is 3-of-28 (10.7%) from 3-point territory over the last four games, a shooting stretch as rough as any in his career. He did have 20 rebounds in Game 4, but the Lakers are minus-9 with James on the court in this series. If Davis and the supporting cast falter, this could easily go down as one of the 5% of series that feature a 3-1 comeback.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report:

  • LeBron James (foot) is probable
  • Anthony Davis (foot) is probable
  • Dennis Schröder (Achilles) is probable

Los Angeles Lakers Starting Lineup:

D’Angelo Russell, Austin Reaves, Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, and Anthony Davis.

Memphis Grizzlies News, Injuries, and Starting Lineups

The Grizzlies still have some bleak history to overcome. The Lakers have won 24 straight series after winning Game 1. In series with this win and site order, the home team in Game 6 wins 72.4% of the time (21-8) in the NBA. But if the Grizzlies can again get Desmond Bane and Ja Morant playing well together, they are going to have a shot with the Lakers’ inconsistent offense.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report:

  • Luke Kennard (shoulder) is questionable
  • Steven Adams (knee) is out for the season
  • Brandon Clarke (Achilles) is out for the season
  • Jake LaRavia (calf) is out

Memphis Grizzlies Starting Lineup:

Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Xavier Tillman.

Lakers vs Grizzlies Head to Head Record In 2023

The Lakers are 5-3 against the Grizzlies this season, which includes a 7-1 record by the home team.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies Game Details

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

  • Date & Time: Friday, April 28, 2023, 10:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Arena – Los Angeles, California
  • Where to watch match in UK: Sky Sports (TV), fuboTV, or other live stream

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