Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Game 5 Prediction and Odds: 2023 NBA Playoffs

The Memphis Grizzlies face elimination at home in the NBA playoffs in trailing 3-1 against the Los Angeles Lakers. The No. 2 seed faces an uphill battle in the series, but Memphis is coming off a tough overtime loss in Los Angeles in Game 4 that could have gone either way.

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These odds from William Hill were correct at the time of writing.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers – Game Predictions

The Grizzlies are a 4-point favorite with a total of 222 points. Both teams shot the three rather poorly in Game 4, but the Grizzlies are going to have to find a way to stifle the supporting cast of the Lakers.

Prediction 1: Memphis Grizzlies to Cover the Spread (-4)

Memphis covers 57.1% of home games and only lost six times at home all year in the regular season. This feels like your classic trap game for the Lakers, who are coming off an emotional overtime win to take a 3-1 lead. That comeback largely hinged on D’Angelo Russell hitting three straight 3-point shots after Memphis took a 97-90 lead. Teams like the Lakers who take a 3-1 lead in the first round with Game 5 coming on the road are 3-19 (.136) ignoring win order and 2-8 (.200) with win order considered. Basically, this is the spot for the team with home court to get back in the series, and the Grizzlies should do that here by containing the role players of the Lakers better.

Prediction 2: Xavier Tillman Over 8.5 Rebounds

A lot of bad shooting and overtime led to many rebound opportunities in Game 4. But one player who did not capitalize well was Xavier Tillman for the Grizzlies. He pulled in just 8-of-22 rebound opportunities (36.4%) according to NBA.com. He should be over 50% easily. Tillman had 13 rebounds in his big Game 2 win in this series. Look for him to do a better job in this game at home as he hits his over in rebounds.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Preview – Is Anthony Davis the Key?

LeBron James has yet to have a 30-point game in this series because he really has not needed one. Anthony Davis has been hot and cold, but his dominance could be the key to ending things early in this series for the Lakers.

Memphis Grizzlies News, Injuries, and Starting Lineups

The Grizzlies are shooting just 41.6% from the field and 30.1% from three in this series. They have struggled against the new defensive configuration of the Lakers. Desmond Bane scored 36 points in Game 4 but he was 3-of-12 from three and is shooting 28.6% from deep in this series after shooting 48.9% last playoffs.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report:

Steven Adams (knee) is out for the season
Brandon Clarke (Achilles) is out for the season
Jake LaRavia (calf) is out

Memphis Grizzlies Starting Lineup:

Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Xavier Tillman.

Los Angeles Lakers News, Injuries, and Starting Lineups

The Lakers are in great shape to win the series. If there is a concern, it would always be the health of Anthony Davis, who has run hot and cold in this series. He was plus-39 on the court in the first two wins with 26.5 points per game and minus-7 in the other two games with 12.5 points per game. The Lakers need to get him going more consistently as the playoffs get more difficult, but so far, the supporting cast (Austin Reaves, Riu Hachimura, D’Angelo Russell) have been very good for LeBron James as he hopes to win a fifth NBA championship.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report:

LeBron James (foot) is probable
Anthony Davis (foot) is probable
Dennis Schröder (Achilles) is probable

Los Angeles Lakers Starting Lineup:

D’Angelo Russell, Austin Reaves, Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, and Anthony Davis.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Head to Head Record In 2023

The Lakers are now 5-2 against the Grizzlies this season, including a 6-1 record by the home team. The only road win was the Lakers winning 128-112 in Game 1 in Memphis.