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The No. 3 Sacramento Kings will host the No. 6 Golden State Warriors on Tuesday in game two of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.
Sacramento is coming off a thrilling 126-123 win in game one. It was the first postseason franchise win for Sacramento since 2006.
Prediction 1
Warriors to cover 3.5-point spread Alternate spread
4/7 (-175)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Damontas Sabonis over 18.5 points Player prop
10/13 (-130)
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Odds from
These odds from Ladbrokes and William Hill were correct at the time of writing.
Photo by Icon Sport
Golden State vs Sacramento – Game Predictions
Contents
The Warriors are attempting to bounce back and prevent themselves from falling into an 0-2 hole before they head back to the bay area for game 3.
Steve Kerr’s squad opens as 1-point favorites, and the game total is set for 240 points.
Prediction 1: Warriors to cover 3.5-point alternate spread @ 4/7 (-175)
Golden State (44-39) will come out desperate to tie the series and should at least cover an alternate 3.5-point spread.
Curry and company covered a 3.5-point alternate spread in game one and might’ve won the game had Malik Monk not put forth a heroic effort (dropped 32 points).
Golden State is 8-2 straight up in its last 10 games against Sacramento and 8-3 in its previous 11 outings.
When the Warriors are favored by one point or more this season, they are 29-27-1 against the spread. They are also 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
The defending champions should shift into second gear if they hope to make another run at the title. The 4/7 odds offer protection if bettors aren’t super confident in the team winning outright.
FiveThirtyEight’s analytics give Golden State a 59% chance to win game 2 and even up the series.
Prediction 2: Damontas Sabonis over 18.5 points @ 10/13 (-130)
Sabonis’ prop (18.5 points) is set below his season average of 19.1 points per game.
Since March, the Gonzaga product has beaten the 18.5 point mark in 12-of-21 games, good for 57.1% of the time. In the same time frame, when Sabonis failed to beat 18.5 points, he bounced back the next game and scored more than 18.5 points on 66.6% of occasions.
In each of the last three months (April included), Sabonis has averaged 18.8, 20.4 and 19.8 points per game.
According to Stat Muse, power forwards enjoyed a 19% usage against the Warriors this season and averaged 21.2 points per game.
The 26-year-old struggled and shot 5-for-17 (29%) from the field in game 1. He’ll likely perform better Monday as he ranked 10th in the NBA in field percentage (61.5%) during the regular season.
Since it’s the postseason, the Lithuanian-American should continue to see heavy minutes giving him opportunities to pass the mark.
Warriors vs Kings: Can one of them make a deep run?
The Warriors are the sixth favorite to win the NBA Title at 10/1 odds. The Kings are long shots at 32/1.
Golden State
Golden State features a deep squad with four players averaging at least 17 points per game.
- Stephen Curry: 29.4 ppg
- Klay Thompson: 21.9 ppg
- Jordan Poole: 20.4 ppg
- Andrew Wiggins: 17.1 ppg
Kevon Looney leads the team in rebounds (9.3 per game and Draymond Green is first on the roster in assists (6.8 per outing).
Klay Thompson went 5-of-14 from beyond the arc in the game 1 loss and should rebound in game 2. On the year, Thompson is shooting 41.2% from deep and 44.6% in his previous 10 games.
Poole is dealing with an ankle injury and is questionable heading into Monday’s contest.
Sacramento
It was an impressive effort in Sacramento’s game 1 win against the favored Warriors.
Although, the Kings (48-34) should come back down to earth for game 2. De’Aaron Fox poured in a game-high 38 points (13 points above his average), while Monk came off the bench (32) and smashed his season average of 13.5 ppg).
Sacramento ranks 25th in the NBA in defensive efficiency (114.2) and is fifth-worst in opposing points per game (118.1).
Fox leads the team in scoring with 25 points per game while Sabonis is first in rebounds (12.3) and assists (7.3).
Warriors vs Kings Head-to-Head Record In 2023
Golden State finished with a 3-1 head-to-head record against Sacramento this season.
- Apr 7: Warriors 119 Kings 97
- Nov. 13: Kings 122 Warriors 115
- Nov. 7: Warriors 116 Kings 113
- Oct. 23: Warriors 130 Kings 125
Golden State vs Sacramento Game Details
- Date & Time: Monday, April 18 at 10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center – Sacramento, California
- Where to watch match in the UK: Sky Sports (TV), FuboTV or another live stream
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