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The Boston Celtics will host the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday afternoon at TD Garden in a game 7 bout which will send one team to the Eastern Conference Finals against the Heat. The Celtics are coming off a 95-86 win on Thursday in Philly.
Prediction 1
James Harden over 8.5 assists Player prop
10/13 (-130)
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Prediction 2
Malcolm Brogdon over 14.5 points Player Prop
5/6 (-120)
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These odds from William Hill were correct at the time of writing.
Boston vs Philadelphia – Game Predictions
Contents
Oddsmakers heavily favor the Celtics (-6.5) on the spread and at -304 on the moneyline against the underdog 76ers (+208). The total is set at 201 points.
Among gamblers, 58% of the money has been placed on Boston to win outright while 64% of it is on Philadelphia to cover the spread. 51% of bets are currently on the score hitting the over.
Prediction 1: James Harden over 8.5 assists @ 10/13 (-130)
Harden led the entire league in assists per game (10.7) this season which is 2.2 higher than the prop being offered by William Hill.
The 33-year-old is currently on a streak of four games with at least nine assists or more. Harden has eclipsed the 8.5 mark in 60% of his postseason games split between the Nets and Celtics.
In the last full month of action (March) before the postseason, Harden recorded 10 or more assists in 9-of-11 games while averaging 11.5 for the month.
Harden average assists per game by month
- October: 10
- November: 10
- December: 12
- January: 10.8
- February: 9.8
- March: 11.5
- April: 7.9
- May: 8.2
During his past 20 games, the Arizona State product has surpassed 8.5 assists on 13 occasions (65%).
Prediction 2: Malcolm Brogdon over 14.5 points 5/6 (-120)
The veteran point guard has accumulated more than 14.5 points in 70% of his last 10 games and in four of his previous five games (80%).
Brogdon postseason game log (by opponent)
- PHI: 16
- PHI: 7
- PHI: 19
- PHI: 15
- PHI: 23
- PHI: 20
- ATL: 17
- ATL: 14
- ATL: 14
- ATL: 17
- ATL: 13
- ATL: 5
The prop is set at .4 points lower than the 30-year-old’s regular season average of 14.9 points per contest. It’s half a point below Brogdon’s playoff (12 games) average of 15 points per outing.
The former second-round pick should see 30 or more minutes in the win-or-go-home game 7, giving him plenty of opportunities to pass the prop.
Celtics vs 76ers: Who will take game 7?
Boston is in search of its first NBA Championship since the 2007-2008 season. Current Philadelphia head coach Doc Rivers was the man in charge of the Celtics’ title run and win over the Lakers in the finals.
Celtics
Despite not securing a spot in the ECF yet, Boston’s odds to win the NBA Title sit at +165 (top favorite).
Boston Celtics Injury Report:
Danilo Gallinari has been ruled out of game 7 with a knee injury.
Boston Celtics Predicted Starting Lineup:
Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford and Robert Williams
Tatum led the Celtics in both points per game (30.1) and boards (8.8) in the regular season. Smart averaged the most assists (6.3).
76ers
Philadelphia is the fifth favorite to win the NBA Title at +850 odds.
The last time the organization lifted the Larry O’Brien Trophy was in the 1982-1983 campaign when it swept the Lakers.
Philadelphia 76ers Injury Report:
The 76ers have a healthy roster heading into game 7.
Philadelphia 76ers Predicted Starting Lineup:
James Harden, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, P.J. Tucker and Joel Embiid
Embiid won the scoring title by topping the league in scoring with 33.1 points per game. The former Kansas Jayhawk also grabbed 10.2 boards per game. Harden led the team and NBA in dishes per game (10.7).
Celtics vs 76ers Head-to-Head Record In 2023
Boston leads Philadelphia in head-to-head matchups 6-4 this season.
Boston vs Philadelphia Game Details
- Date & Time: Sunday, May 14 at 3:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: TD Garden – Boston, Massachusetts
- Where to watch the match in the UK: Sky Sports (TV), FuboTV or another live stream
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