Tour de France Yellow Jersey Standings, Odds, and Predictions

The 2023 Tour de France yellow jersey race is practically the race for the win of this Grand Tour. This is the most prized and valuable jersey of them all and only the Tour de France Winner each year wears it. With the 2023 Tour about to enter its final week 3, we look at the current Tour de France yellow jersey standings, odds and we also give you our prediction of who will be in yellow in Paris. Could Vingegaard make it back-to-back Tour wins? Is Pogacar ready to win his 3rd Tour even before he turns 23?

Yellow jersey
Danish Jonas Vingegaard of Jumbo-Visma celebrates in the yellow jersey of leader in the overall ranking after stage 10 of the Tour de France cycling race, a 167,2 km race from Vulcania to Issoire, France, Tuesday 11 July 2023. This year’s Tour de France takes place from 01 to 23 July 2023. BELGA PHOTO JASPER JACOBS – Photo by Icon sport

Tour de France Yellow Jersey Standings

The battle for the Tour de France yellow jersey promises to be epic with the 2 winners from the last 3 Tours locked in a thrilling duel and more than halfway through the race split by mere seconds. The defending champion Jonas Vingegaard is so far withstanding all the heat that the 2020 and 2021 winner Tadje Pogacar is throwing at him. Has the Dane decided the destiny of the yellow jersey with his explosive runs in stages 15 and 16?

Here are the top 5 riders in the Tour de France yellow jersey classification after stage 17:

1) J. Vingegaard (Jumbo-Visma) 67h57’51’’

2) T. Pogacar (UAE Team Emirates) +07’35’’

3) A. Yates (UAE Team Emirates) +10’45’’

4) C. Rodriguez Cano (Ineos Grenadiers) +12’01’’

5) S. Yates (Jayco Alula) +12’19’

Clearly, the battle for the Tour de France yellow jersey looks all but over after Vingegaard extended his 10-second lead at the end of week 2 to over 7-minute one thanks to back-to-back very good days.

Tour de France Yellow Jersey Odds

Below, we give you the current odds for the Tour de France winner. Here are the top 5 riders placed based on their odds to become the 2023 Tour de France winner:

Jonas Vingegaard 1/200 (1.01) was 1/1 (2.00)

Tadej Pogacar 40/1 (41.00) was 10/11 (1.91)

Adam Yates 150/1 (151.00) was 50/1 (51.00)

Carlos Rodriguez Cano 250/1 (251.00) was 50/1 (51.00)

Jai Hindley 250/1 (251.00) was 100/1 (101.00)

It is painfully obvious that the winner of the 2023 Tour de France yellow jersey will be called Vingegaard. No other rider found a way to keep up with the relentless Dane for more than 2 weeks. Still, with some hairy terrain still to cover could a major accident change the overall picture? Here’s what we think…

Yellow Jersey

Tour de France Yellow Jersey: Our Prediction

Despite the 2-time Tour winner (2020 and 2021) Tadje Pogacar being seen as the slight favourite over the defending champion Jonas Vingegaard we actually fancy the Dane to win his second consecutive Tour de France yellow jersey.

We made the above prediction before Vingegaard all but ended the contest for the yellow jersey in stages 15 and 16. Before those stages the Dane’s odds were very favourable but not anymore. Over the space of just 2 days he extended his lead from 10 seconds to 7 minutes and 35 seconds. This makes the race for this particular jersey all but over it seems.

All that said, the pre-Tour favourite Pogacar needs only one mishap from Vingegaard to get back within 2-3 minutes and this will be enough to pump up the Slovenian for what would be a very unlikely comeback. We can’t see Vingegaard getting into any trouble though, not even a minor accident on the road would make him lose 7+ minutes on Pogacar.

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About the author


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball careers as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early.

Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passion, writing. For over a decade, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise.