Boxing

Daniel Valladares vs. Ginjiro Shigeoka Strawweight Title Fight | Betting Preview and Prediction

Daniel Valladares vs Ginjiro Shigeoka

Strawweight boxing heads to Osaka, Japan this Friday night for an exciting clash between Daniel Valladares and Ginjiro Shigeoka at the EDION Arena. Both men are on hot winning streaks, and will be fighting it out for the IBF World Strawweight title. While Valladares is the current holder of the belt, he’ll have his work cut out for him to defeat and unbeaten Shigeoka in front of a home crowd. We look at the best bets to be made on this clash, and preview each fighter’s path to victory.

Daniel Valladares vs. Ginjiro Shigeoka Odds

Here’s a look at how the bookies are calling this fight ahead of the ring walks on Friday night:

  • Daniel Valladares to win @ 4/1 (5.00)
  • Ginjiro Shigeoka to win @ 1/7 (1.14)

This match is shaping up to be much the same as another title fight this weekend between Gervonta Davis and Hector Luis Garcia. While it appears to be close on paper—Valladares is the defending champion, on a five-fight win streak and is much more experienced than his opponent, while Shigeoka is younger, more green, but undefeated and boxing in front of a home crowd—the reality is this fight is unlikely to be very close either.

Best Daniel Valladares vs. Ginjiro Shigeoka Betting Tips

Those looking to put some money on this fight will want to consider the following two bets, depending on the level of risk you’re looking for in your bets:

Shigeoka to Win by Knockout @ 7/4 (2.75)

Japan’s Ginjiro Shigeoka has been fighting professionally for less than five years, only making his professional debut in 2018. Since then, however, the man has been unstoppable, tearing through eight opponents without tasting defeat. The majority of his fights have ended early as well, with only two clashes going the distance.

Valladares, on the other hand, has had some cracks revealed in his fighting style over the past few years. After debuting strong and winning his first 11 fights, the Mexican lost a string of two fights and a draw in 2020. While he’s back in the winner’s circle now, it feels as though Shigeoka will be much too strong for the 28-year-old here.

Daniel Valladares vs Ginjiro Shigeoka

The best money to be made in this clash is wagering on Shigeoka to win by knockout. The reality is, Shigeoka is the overwhelming favourite to win this in front of his home crowd, and it’s really just a question of how he wins. With a 75% knockout rate and odds of 7/4 (2.75) for this method of victory, this is the best bet to make ahead of Friday night’s bout.

Shigeoka to Win in Round 3 @ 28/1 (29.00)

The majority of Shigeoka’s knockouts have come early in his fights. Only once has he gone as far as the fifth round, with two first round knockouts, one second, one third and one fourth. Looking at this fight, Valladares is a skilled opponent, and Shigeoka is unlikely to get a knockout in the first few rounds. However, he’ll be motivated to perform in front of a big home crowd, and is by far the better fighter.

Expect Shigeoka to spend the first few rounds feeling Valladares out, before pulling the trigger and scoring a knockout in the third round. Bet on this with the right timing, and you’ll 29x your money with these odds.

Daniel Valladares vs. Ginjiro Shigeoka: Event Details

  • Date: January 6 2023 from 4:00 AM EST
  • Venue: EDION Arena, Osaka, Japan
  • Belts: IBF World Strawweight Title

About the author

Bren Gray

Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and breaking news here at Pundit Feed.