Subriel Matias vs. Jeremias Nicolas Ponce Prediction and Odds: IBF World Super Lightweight Title Fight

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This weekend the IBF World Super Lightweight Title will go on the line, with a fascinating encounter between Subriel Matias of Puerto Rico and Jeremias Nicolas Ponce of Argentina. Courtesy of Josh Taylor failing to accept the mandatory fights to defend his IBF belt, it is now sitting vacant in the super lightweight division—but not for long.

Both fighters bring excellent records into this clash. Between them, they has 48 wins and 38 knockouts with just the one loss. Both are used to have matters their own way in the ring, making this an intriguing bout. We breakdown the bookies odds and offer up our suggestions of the best wagers to make ahead of the first bell on Saturday night in Minnesota in this betting preview.

Prediction 1

Matias to Win By Knockout

4/7 (1.57)

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Odds from

Prediction 2

Matias to Win Round 7-12

15/8 (2.87)

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Odds from

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Subriel Matias vs. Jeremias Nicolas Ponce – Fight Prediction

Contents

1 Subriel Matias vs. Jeremias Nicolas Ponce – Fight Prediction
- 1.1 Matias to Win By Knockout @ 4/7 (1.57)
- 1.2 Matias to Win Round 7-12 @ 15/8 (2.87)
2 Subriel Matias vs. Jeremias Nicolas Ponce Preview
3 Subriel Matias vs. Jeremias Nicolas Ponce Fight Details

Here at Pundit Feed, we love our boxing. Below are two of the best predictions our experts suggest making on this title fight in Minnesota:

Matias to Win By Knockout @ 4/7 (1.57)

Jeremias Nicolas Ponce is a quality fighter—he’s 30-0-0 across his career so far, and has looked impressive. However, the reality is, he’s never fought a fighter of Subriel Matias’s calibre before. Matias has 18 wins, and 18 knockouts. The only blemish on Matias’s record is a decision loss to Russian Petros Ananyan. This was an out of character performance, from which Matias has bounced back strong with three more knockout wins.

Ponce has also never fought on such a stage before, while Matias in comfortable under the bright lights. Combine all of these factors, and we see this one being competitive, but ultimately ending in Matias winning by knockout.

Matias to Win Round 7-12 @ 15/8 (2.87)

While we believe Matias will win by knockout, there’s a chance he’ll come into this one rusty. After getting out of the blocks fast in his career when he debuted as a professional in 2016, Matias has slowed up recently. In fact, this will be his first fight in well over a year, last boxing in January 2022.

Matias still has the class to win by knockout, but his potential for rust, plus Ponce’s boxing ability, means the result will likely come in the latter half of the fight.

Subriel Matias vs. Jeremias Nicolas Ponce Preview

With these bets in mind, here’s a look at how each fighter has made it to this bout:

Subriel Matias

Matias debuted as a professional in 2016, and raced out to 15 straight knockouts in the first four years of his boxing career. However, his unbeaten record came crashing down in early 2020 with a unanimous decision loss at the MGM Grand to Petros Ananyan. Since then, Matias has rebounded strong, most recently getting his revenge over Ananyan by way of a nineth round stoppage.

Jeremias Nicolas Ponce

Argentina’a Jeremias Nicolas Ponce holds an impeccable record so far, with the 26-year-old accruing 30 wins for no losses, with 20 knockouts. He’s on a three fight knockout streak, last going the distance in late 2020 against Jonathan Jose Eniz. This will be Ponce’s first fight on American soil, having fought the first 27 bouts of his career in Argentina, before making the last three in Europe.