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A division battle in the AFC East awaits as we are going to witness a game between the Dolphins and the Bills. It is safe to say that Buffalo needs this game more than their opponent, but do we expect Miami to lose at home? Well, the betting lines suggest just that so let’s take a dive and see whether we like anything about that game when it comes to betting.
Miami vs Buffalo: The Current spread is Buffalo -3.5 @ -105
It is very hard to bet this spread as we simply don’t trust either team. Miami was lucky to snag the road victory against New England in the opener mainly because of a lot of individual errors on the side of Patriots players.
However, it can be said that the Bills also lost because of some specific mistakes in bad times and this is what bookmakers seem to think. This is why they are favoring Buffalo on the road here. We know the Bills have the better quarterback but both offenses struggled to post a lot of points in week 1 (BUF scored 16 and MIA scored 17). The story of the yards is different, though.
The Bills racked up 371 total yards but a couple of mishaps in the red zone cost them the game. Miami managed to escape New England with only 259 yards in the game. If you are betting something here, go with the Bills although we don’t love the line.
Our best bet on the Dolphins vs Bills match on Sunday
We are going under the total of 47.5 in this match and we are betting it at -110. The main reason is a stat that our experts truly like. It is the YPP (yards per play). Miami ranks 24th with 5.0 ypp and Buffalo is 26th with 4.7.
This is a sign that the offenses are anemic and out of tune. Furthermore, both team’s run game relies on the quarterbacks as they lack dominant running backs. Buffalo posted 107 yards on the ground last week and Miami managed to get only 74. If the run game doesn’t work, the passing game cannot open up.
Additionally, both teams’ defenses are very good at YPP. The Bills held the Steelers to 4.6 and rank 5th in the league. Miami held the patriots to only 5.6 yards per play. Bet the under.
Which players to pay attention to
Jaylen Waddle: The rookie Alabama wide receiver seems to have good chemistry with his quarterback (also from Alabama). It will be interesting to see how he fares against a good defense and with fellow receiver Will Fuller V returning for this game.
Matt Milano: Milano was good versus Pittsburgh last week achieving 5 total tackles and 2 tackles for loss. Don’t be surprised if he is also in a QB spy role for most of the game.
Bonus picks for the match at hand
- 1st quarter total: Under 9.5 @ -110
- First score method: Field Goal @ +140
- Total Touchdowns: Under 4 @ +300
What do people ask about the MIA vs BUFF game?
- Will Tua Tagovailoa throw a TD in the game? – If he doesn’t, he may rush for one.
- When will Will Fuller V play? – He is eligible to play in this match.