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We are having a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game on our hands this Sunday Night. It will be the Buffalo Bills visiting the Kansas City Chiefs and this will be a good one. Unlike last year’s game, the Bills look like the team in better shape. They currently have a 3-1 record which should have been 4-0 really. The Chiefs started the season tentatively and are currently 2-2. All the betting opportunities are here so our crew has analyzed the betting lines and odds for the game. Check out our picks below.
Contents
- 1 Should we go with a score prediction for the Buffalo vs Kansas City match or the spread betting?
- 2 The best betting prediction we got on the Bills vs Chiefs game
- 3 Which players to watch out for in the match?
- 4 Bonus picks and predictions on the match at hand
- 5 What do people want to know about the BUF vs KC game?
Should we go with a score prediction for the Buffalo vs Kansas City match or the spread betting?
The Chiefs are currently favored by -3.0 at home meaning that the teams would be even on a neutral field. The Buffalo Bills odds to cover this spread are -120 and we are ready to bet that. However, if you can get +3.5 somewhere, by all means, go for it but the price will likely be very bad.
The yards per game stats aren’t all that different with Kansas having 427.5 per game and Buffalo sitting at 404.0. Where we find the biggest discrepancy, however, is the opponent’s yards per game that the defenses allow. The Bills are 1st in the league with only 216.8 yards per game allowed. Kansas is 31st with 437.8 yards per game.
The +3.0 points that we get if we bet the Bills all of a sudden look great.
The best betting prediction we got on the Bills vs Chiefs game
Since the spread is indeed hard to predict in such a match, we are going with a bet on the total. The current number is 56.5. We are betting the Over 56.5 @ -110 and that’s our best bet.
Both teams average 33.5 points per game this season and we see no reason why the scoring in the match will be low. Kanas City’s defense is very bad and leaky. Josh Allen will likely have a field day on Sunday. Even if Buffalo’s defense presents a challenge to Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs should still be able to score somewhere in the realm of 30 points because of scheme only.
Also, the weather in Kansas will be great for football at 75 degrees and only a 5 mph wind.
The clear value is on the over here.
Which players to watch out for in the match?
Stefon Diggs: The wide receiver has caught only 1 TD this season with 305 receiving yards. His catch percentage is also down to 61.9% compared to last year’s 76.5%. facing the Chiefs’ defense is an excellent opportunity for Diggs to bounce back.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire: The last 2 games were finally good for CEH going over 100 yards rushing in both competitions. The Bills defense allows only 68.0 rushing yards per game so it will be interesting to see if the Chiefs go away from the run game completely.
Bonus picks and predictions on the match at hand
- Time of first score: Score before 5:00 elapsed @ -115
- Player Passing Yards: Josh Allen – Over 303.5 @ -110
- Player Interceptions: Patrick Mahomes – Over 0.5 @ +115
What do people want to know about the BUF vs KC game?
- What are the Kansas City Chiefs odds to win the game? – The Money Line has them at -145.
- Is Willie Gay going to play for Kansas? – No, he is on Injured reserve.
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