J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Baez prediction and odds: Australian Open 2024

J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Baez prediction and odds: Australian Open 2024
Photo by Icon sport

As per the 2024 Australian Open schedule, the first-round matches are due to kick off on Sunday, January 14th. And one of the picks of the bunch that fall on this day is J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Baez, for which I’ve provided my predictions below.

Our favourite J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Baez predictions

These two guys have quite contrasting styles, and they’ve only played once before – a match that went in favour of J.J. Wolf. However, as we all know, anything can happen in Grand Slam tennis, especially in the early rounds like this one. So, with that in mind, what are my J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Baez predictions for this first-round clash?

Wolf to win @ 3/5 (1.60)

If you look back at the recent form of these two guys, neither of them will be full of confidence coming into this encounter. But while this is the case, Wolf has beaten Baez in straight sets in their one and only meeting. Additionally, Wolf reached the fourth round of the 2023 Australian Open, so I believe he will produce the goods here.

Wolf -3.5 games handicap @ 19/20 (1.95)

Since I believe that J.J. Wolf will beat Sebastian Baez in round one, it makes sense to shoot for a -3.5 games handicap. After all, in line with the Australian Open format for the men’s singles, all matches are played as ‘best of five’ sets. So if he wins, the chances that he will put at least 4 games between himself and Baez are very high.

J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Baez odds

Based on the 3/5 moneyline odds for Wolf, the implied probability of victory for the American is 62.50%. As for Baez, with odds of 13/10, his chance of winning as per these odds is 43.50%.

Wolf hoping to blitz Baez in Australian Open first round

Now you have my Wolf vs Baez predictions locked and loaded, let’s move on to a couple of previews for these guys.

J.J. Wolf preview

J.J. Wolf can play some great tennis on his day, and at the moment, he is ranked just outside of the world’s top 50. Furthermore, he enjoyed a deep run in Melbourne last year before losing in five sets to Shelton in the fourth round. So Wolf will be relying on the memories of last year to bring him out of his current slump.

Sebastian Baez preview

Speaking of slumps, Sebastian Baez is in a howling run of form at the minute. He has lost his last five ATP singles matches on the bounce, and his last official win on tour came in October 2023. For that reason, while he is seeded 26 this year, he will not be confident, nor is he the favourite for this match.

Wolf vs Baez head to head

The history between these two is pretty thin on the ground, with just one match played. This was played in October 2023, and it was an indoor hard-court game that Wolf won by a score of 7-6 6-2. 

Key match details

Baez vs Wolf prediction Australian Open 2024
Photo by Icon sport
  • Match Schedule – January 14th, 03:30 GMT
  • Venue – Melbourne, Australia
  • Viewing Options – Eurosport, Discovery+

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