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Luca Brecel vs Mark Selby Prediction and Odds – 2023 Snooker World Championship Final

We are into the Final of the 2023 World Snooker Championship, which begins on Sunday, April 30th and concludes on May 1st. In it, four-time champion Mark Selby takes on Luca Brecel.

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Luca Brecel vs Mark Selby – Match Predictions

For the 2023 World Championship Final, we present our snooker predictions for the big match. It’s the best-of-35 frames, so the players are going to be in for a long slog to get their hands on Snooker’s most prestigious title.

Prediction 1: Mark Selby -2.5 Frames @ 5/6 (1.83)

Mark Selby has been here before and has completed the job. He is a four-time World Champion and knows what it takes to win this. He is pretty much the master at the long format of this tournament, where his superb mental focus is a huge asset. The fact that the winning experience is there, can help him again this year.

Prediction 2: Brecel To Lead After 6 Frames @ 23/10 (3.3)

The interesting thing here is that Selby has been slow out of the blocks in the last two rounds and has still managed to grind his way to victory. Brecel has looked down and out at the midway point of matches and has turned things around. Brecel has some wind in his sails and could produce a strong start.

Luca Brecel and Mark Selby Latest Form and Performances

Next before settling down to watch the Final, it’s worth looking at what the two individuals have produced across the course of the tournament. It has been a fascinating story for both of them.

Brecel The Comeback King

World Number 10 Luca Brecel has spoken a lot about really not having ideal preparation under his belt before matches. But some of the performances he has produced have been a thrilling mix of cavalier and opportunistic play.

He won seven consecutive frames in the final session of his quarter-final match against Ronnie O’Sullivan to snatch victory from 10-6 down. Brecel was at it again in his semi-final when young Chinese sensation Si Jiahui was a massive 14-5 frames ahead. Brecel won 11 straight frames from that position to set himself up for a spectacular win.

The Belgian has won one ranking tournament this season, and is in his first World Championship Final.

Settled Selby Slick In All Situations

Mark Selby had some early struggles in his quarter-final match against John Higgins losing the opening four frames. But he slowly ground his way back into the fixture before pulling away to a comfortable 13-7 victory.

Things were tighter for Selby in the semifinals against Mark Allen. It wasn’t until Selby won five frames in a row to open the match up at 10-16 that daylight came between the two. But still, he had to fend off a big fightback from Allen before closing it out 17-15.

Selby has won two ranking tournaments this season, and is in his sixth World Championship Final.

Luca Brecel vs Mark Selby Head to Head

What does the head-to-head between Luca Brecel and Mark Selby tell us? There is an interesting picture here as Selby is on a six-match winning streak against Brecel. This will be the first meeting at the World Championships.

  • 18.12.2022. ENG: Selby 9-6 Brecel
  • 04.11.2020. CC: Selby 4-2 Brecel
  • 14.11.2019. NIO: Selby 4-2 Brecel
  • 07.10.2019. CL: Selby 3-0 Brecel
  • 09.01.2019 CL: Selby 3-0 Brecel

Match Details and FAQs

Mark Selby World Snooker Championship

  • When does the match start? The match is on Sunday, April 30th and Monday, May 1st with 1.00 pm and 7.00 pm sessions.
  • What is the venue of the match? The venue of the match is the Crucible Theatre, Sheffield
  • Where can I watch the match? All action is live via BBC 1, BBC 2 and BBC iPlayer

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About the author

Lee Jackson

Lee has been a freelance sports writer for over a decade and is a massive sports fan, following Chelsea in the Premier League and Gloucester in Premiership Rugby. Few sports events get him more excited than Ashes cricket, however.

Lee has followed darts since the good old days of Eric Bristow and John Lowe producing highlight moments at the World Championships on dark winter nights.