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Considering making a wager on the upcoming Preakness Stakes? If so, you might like to check out the trends that have evolved for this race in recent years. By this, I mean that you can check out historical trends and use them in your betting decisions for future races. Of course, the Preakness Stakes is just one race too, which makes the trends even more relative.
With that said, historical trends aren’t necessarily a guarantee of what might occur in the future. There is still an element of uncertainty, but that’s what keeps the Preakness Stakes so exciting. However, we can still use these trends to come up with bets that fit the bill in terms of the ‘most likely’ outcomes for the race. So on that note, I think it’s time we dived right into the Preakness Stakes trends that have emerged in recent times.
Preakness Stakes Trends Concerning Recent Winners
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As I’ve stressed above, using Preakness Stakes trends is a good idea ahead of pulling the trigger on any possible wagers. But you’ve still got to know exactly what these trends are in order to use them. You’ve also got to filter through the many trends that are out there and find only the most relative. Luckily, I’ve already done the legwork on such research. And I’ve shared the following five trends that have helped fuel Preakness Stakes winners in recent times.
Inside Track Is Favourable
You’ll no doubt be aware that there are post positions handed out ahead of the Preakness Stakes. For the 2023 event, these run from post 1-7, as there has been one withdrawal over the last 24 hours. And when you look back at the winners for the last eight years, six of them have started from an inside track position. This means that they’ve started the race from the ‘inner half’ of the post positions.
So if you base the likely winners from this alone, your choices this time around would be National Treasure, Chase The Chaos, Mage, and Coffeewithchris.
Previous Grade One Victories
The Preakness Stakes is a Grade One event, in case you didn’t already know. It’s the second leg of America’s Triple Crown – the most significant series of thoroughbred races in the world. And interestingly, the Preakness Stakes isn’t a race where newbies come through and take the win, generally speaking. In fact, of the last 26 winners of the Preakness Stakes, 17 had won at least one G1 event before competing in this race. This shows that there are very few exceptions to this trend, which is obviously a handy indicator ahead of the 2023 event.
Last Outing at Churchill Downs
Prior to the Preakness Stakes, the first leg of the Triple Crown is always held at Churchill Downs. This race is the Kentucky Derby, and unsurprisingly, there is a connection between this track and the subsequent Preakness Stakes winners. In fact, 8 of the last 11 Preakness Stakes winners had raced at Churchill Downs in their last outing. The connection here makes sense too, as Churchill Downs is also a dirt track with quite similar characteristics.
And if you want to take this a step further, 7 of the last 11 winners had raced in the Kentucky Derby in their previous outing.
Baffert, Brown, and Asmussen Magic
Moving away from specific horse trends for this one, it’s important to know who has been the most successful in other areas. Of course, the key roles here relate to the trainers and jockeys. And when you look back through recent winners of the Preakness Stakes, there are three names that stand out. These names are Bob Baffert, Chad Brown, and Steve Asmussen. To clarify, both Brown and Asmussen are jockeys, and they’ve each captured two wins in recent times.
As for Baffert, he is the most successful trainer in the Preakness Stakes, with seven wins to his name.
Favourites Do Not Typically Dominate
The last of the five trends I wish to highlight covers the favourites in terms of pre-race odds. Interestingly, just 3 of the last 11 Preakness Stakes winners have been the favourites. This isn’t a statistic that will fill the 2023 favourite with confidence, of course. So if you base your choice on who might win the 2023 Preakness Stakes from this trend, you’d probably want to avoid Mage. However, as I’ve stressed throughout, these are merely trends – not guarantees of what could materialize on the track tonight.
But if you do wish to keep this trend in mind, the horses such as National Treasure and Blazing Sevens suddenly look quite appealing.
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