Horse Racing

Grand National 2023: Forecast and tricast payouts revealed as SP favourite delights punters with victory

The forecast payout on today’s Grand National has been confirmed at £166.25, leaving lucky punters gleefully counting their winnings. Derek Fox rode SP favourite Corach Rambler to victory in style, finishing 2 and a quarter lengths ahead of 20/1 shot Vanillier. Gaillard du Mesnil finished third while last year’s winner Noble Yeats just pipped The Big Dog to fourth.

The 2023 Grand National tricast payout was confirmed at a whopping £1699.84. Just like with other horse races, Grand National forecasts and tricasts are calculated using a complex and closely-guarded secret formula. It takes into account various factors like the starting price (SP) of all horses, the number of runners and whether there was a short-priced favourite at the start of the race.

Grand National forecasts and tricasts revealed after Corach Rambler wins ahead of Vanillier
Photo by Icon Sport

Comparison of recent Grand National forecast and tricast payouts

Given the Grand National generally has a full field of 40 runners, it’s a bit of a lottery trying to predict who’ll win the race, let alone the first two or even three finishers. That’s reflected in the forecast and tricast payouts, which are generally very high.

While £1699.84 seems like a large Grand National tricast payout, it’s actually significantly lower than any we’ve seen in the last five years. The same goes for the forecast, as you can see in the table below. This is down to the fact that the favourite won and another of the more favoured horses came third in Gaillard Du Mesnil.

Year
First three horses
Forecast payout
Tricast payout

2023

  1. Corach Rambler
  2. Vanillier
  3. Gaillard du Mesnil

£166.25

£1699.84

2022

  1. Noble Yeats
  2. Any Second Now
  3. Delta Work

£358.49

£4,148.87

2021

  1. Minella Times
  2. Balko Des Flos
  3. Any Second Now

£882.65

£8,593.94

2019

  1. Tiger Roll
  2. Magic of Light
  3. Rathvinden

£286.70

£2,260.93

2018

  1. Tiger Roll
  2. Pleasant Company
  3. Bless the Wings

£246.37

£9,439.25

2017

  1. One For Arthur
  2. Cause of Causes
  3. Saint Are

£187.25

£5,602.59

Grand National forecast and tricast FAQ

  • What is a reverse forecast? A reverse forecast involves selecting two horses just like with a straight forecast. The difference is that with a reverse forecast you are essentially placing two separate straight forecasts: Horse A to win ahead of Horse B, and vice versa.
  • What is the average forecast payout on the Grand National? Over the last five Grand Nationals, dating back to 2017, the average forecast payout has been £392.29, making a handsome return for any punters lucky enough to predict it correctly. During that time frame, the largest forecast payout was £882.65, when Rachael Blackmore rode to glory on Minella Times in 2021.
  • How do I place a tricast bet? If betting online, you should see an option to select three horses for a tricast on the racecard. If you wish, you can place a combination tricast, to give yourself more chances of the bet winning.


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