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Prediction 1
Eric Cole over Chad Ramey Matchup
20/27 (-135)
Prediction 2
Stephan Jaeger over Zach Johnson Matchup
20/33 (-165)
The final round of the Travelers Championship is set for an electrifying finish, with Keegan Bradley leading the way at 21-under par with the tournament’s 2019 champion Chez Reavie one stroke behind.
It would be redemption for Bradley since he’s come close before recording a runner-up finish four years ago. World No. 4 Patrick Cantlay sits five strokes back at 16-under after posting a 9-under 61 on Saturday. Rickie Fowler carded the low round of the day with a 10-under 60 and leads a pack of players at 15-under par.
Denny McCarthy trails in the group at 15-under. He was the leader through the first two rounds but couldn’t get things going during round three and finished even.
There will be plenty of head-to-head matchups to bet on for the final round. Here are two we saw value in:
Travelers Championship Day 4 Predictions: Matchups (18 holes)
Contents
The following matchups are only for the final round.
Eric Cole over Chad Ramey @ 20/27 (-135)
PGA Tour rookie Eric Cole has begun to make a name for himself and has put the golf world on notice. The 35-year-old nearly won his first title at the Honda Classic in late February but fell in a playoff to Chris Kirk. He had an unlucky lip-out for birdie from 10 feet, which would have extended the playoff.
Since then, he’s earned six top 27 finishes in 14 events, with his biggest highlight being an overnight lead after day one at the PGA Championship.
Cole has made four cuts in a row, including six of the last seven, compared to Ramey, who is much more inconsistent. Before making the cut this week in Connecticut, he had missed two consecutive and four of his last eight.
One of the major differences between the two is their final-round scoring averages:
Final round scoring averages
- Cole: 68.69 (13 rounds) Rank: 12th
- Ramey: 71.3 (10 rounds) Rank: 159th
The Palm Springs, California native Cole is also much higher in the Official World Golf Rankings at No. 81 in comparison to Ramey at No. 205.
Cole is being offered at -167 on other books, such as Caesars and William Hill, so the -135 is a much better number.
The two players’ tournament results are featured below.
DATE | TOURNAMENT | POS | OVERALL SCORE | EARNINGS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/15 – 9/18 | Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course) | Missed Cut | 73-75 | 148 (+4) | — |
9/29 – 10/2 | Country Club of Jackson | Missed Cut | 78-68 | 146 (+2) | — |
10/6 – 10/9 | TPC Summerlin | Missed Cut | 67-72 | 139 (-3) | — |
10/27 – 10/30 | Butterfield Bermuda Championship Port Royal Golf Course | Missed Cut | 66-71 | 137 (-5) | — |
11/3 – 11/6 | World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba | T27 | 70-68-66-67 | 271 (-13) | $58,630 |
11/10 – 11/13 | Memorial Park Golf Course | T35 | 71-68-69-71 | 279 (-1) | $42,735 |
11/17 – 11/20 | Sea Island Resort (Seaside Course) | T39 | 69-68-70-66 | 273 (-9) | $32,805 |
1/12 – 1/15 | Waialae Country Club | T61 | 69-67-69-70 | 275 (-5) | $17,380 |
1/19 – 1/22 | Pete Dye Stadium Course | T36 | 65-70-69-68 | 272 (-16) | $38,080 |
1/25 – 1/28 | Torrey Pines (North Course) | Missed Cut | 72-74 | 146 (+2) | — |
2/2 – 2/6 | Pebble Beach Golf Links | T15 | 65-71-73-69 | 278 (-9) | $146,250 |
2/23 – 2/26 | PGA National Resort & Spa (The Champion) | 2-y | 67-66-66-67-5 | 271 (-14) | $915,600 |
3/2 – 3/5 | Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge | Missed Cut | 72-80 | 152 (+8) | — |
3/9 – 3/12 | TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) | T27 | 73-73-69-68 | 283 (-5) | $167,656 |
3/16 – 3/19 | Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) | Missed Cut | 74-70 | 144 (+2) | — |
3/30 – 4/2 | TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course) | T39 | 71-67-75-72 | 285 (-3) | $36,045 |
4/20 – 4/23 | TPC Louisiana | Missed Cut | 65-70 | 135 (-9) | — |
4/27 – 4/30 | Vidanta Vallarta | T5 | 65-68-69-66 | 268 (-16) | $284,900 |
5/4 – 5/7 | Quail Hollow Club | Missed Cut | 71-72 | 143 (+1) | — |
5/11 – 5/14 | TPC Craig Ranch | T23 | 66-68-70-65 | 269 (-15) | $80,546 |
5/18 – 5/21 | Oak Hill Country Club | T15 | 67-74-70-70 | 281 (+1) | $288,333 |
5/25 – 5/28 | Colonial Country Club | Missed Cut | 69-74 | 143 (+3) | — |
6/1 – 6/4 | The Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday Muirfield Village Golf Club | T24 | 75-70-70-74 | 289 (+1) | $163,000 |
6/8 – 6/11 | Oakdale Golf & Country Club | T6 | 69-73-69-63 | 274 (-14) | $315,000 |
6/15 – 6/18 | Los Angeles Country Club | T39 | 69-70-71-74 | 284 (+4) | $85,441 |
6/22 – 6/25 | TPC River Highlands | T33 | 64-65-73 | 202 (-8) | — |
DATE | TOURNAMENT | POS | OVERALL SCORE | EARNINGS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/15 – 9/18 | Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course) | Missed Cut | 70-73 | 143 (-1) | — |
9/29 – 10/2 | Country Club of Jackson | Missed Cut | 77-76 | 153 (+9) | — |
10/6 – 10/9 | TPC Summerlin | T28 | 67-66-69-69 | 271 (-13) | $51,350 |
10/13 – 10/16 | Accordia Golf Narashino CC | T69 | 74-67-69-74 | 284 (+4) | $19,470 |
10/27 – 10/30 | Butterfield Bermuda Championship Port Royal Golf Course | Missed Cut | 71-67 | 138 (-4) | — |
11/3 – 11/6 | World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba | Missed Cut | 69-70 | 139 (-3) | — |
11/10 – 11/13 | Memorial Park Golf Course | Missed Cut | 73-68 | 141 (+1) | — |
11/17 – 11/20 | Sea Island Resort (Seaside Course) | Missed Cut | 68-73 | 141 (-1) | — |
1/5 – 1/8 | Sentry Tournament of Champions Kapalua Resort (Plantation Course) | 38 | 71-76-72-71 | 290 (-2) | $201,000 |
1/12 – 1/15 | Waialae Country Club | T54 | 68-70-72-64 | 274 (-6) | $18,249 |
2/2 – 2/6 | Pebble Beach Golf Links | T70 | 65-76-73-75 | 289 (+2) | $18,180 |
2/9 – 2/12 | TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) | Missed Cut | 78-70 | 148 (+6) | — |
2/16 – 2/19 | Riviera Country Club | Missed Cut | 74-72 | 146 (+4) | — |
2/23 – 2/26 | PGA National Resort & Spa (The Champion) | Missed Cut | 70-72 | 142 (+2) | — |
3/9 – 3/12 | TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) | T27 | 64-75-68-76 | 283 (-5) | $167,656 |
3/16 – 3/19 | Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) | T27 | 70-71-68-75 | 284 (E) | $53,190 |
3/23 – 3/26 | Corales Puntacana Championship Puntacana Resort & Club (Corales Golf Course) | Withdrawn | 71 | 71 (-1) | — |
3/30 – 4/2 | TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course) | Missed Cut | 70-75 | 145 (+1) | — |
4/13 – 4/16 | Harbour Town Golf Links | Missed Cut | 72-74 | 146 (+4) | — |
4/20 – 4/23 | TPC Louisiana | T9 | 63-67-65-71 | 266 (-22) | — |
5/4 – 5/7 | Quail Hollow Club | T35 | 69-71-70-71 | 281 (-3) | $99,600 |
5/11 – 5/14 | TPC Craig Ranch | T50 | 66-71-69-67 | 273 (-11) | $22,216 |
5/25 – 5/28 | Colonial Country Club | T12 | 68-69-69-71 | 277 (-3) | $178,350 |
6/1 – 6/4 | The Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday Muirfield Village Golf Club | Missed Cut | 88-74 | 162 (+18) | — |
6/8 – 6/11 | Oakdale Golf & Country Club | Missed Cut | 77-70 | 147 (+3) | — |
6/22 – 6/25 | TPC River Highlands | T33 | 66-70-66 | 202 (-8) | — |
Stephan Jaeger over Zach Johnson @ 20/33 (-165)
After riding with Jaeger yesterday to beat Johnson and the result ending in a push, I’m going with him again on Sunday with the exact same line. Jaeger nearly edges out Johnson by a full stroke for their stroke averages this year on tour.
Fourth-round scoring averages
- Jaeger: 70.42 (19 rounds) Rank: 102nd
- Johnson: 71.33 (9 rounds) Rank: 161st
There is also a significant difference in the two players’ Official Golf World Rankings. Johnson ranks 258th and plays every few weeks, whereas Jaeger ranks 118th and plays a full schedule.
As I stated in the round three betting prediction, Johnson has more trouble putting four solid rounds together than Jaeger does, primarily due to their ages and where they’re at in their careers.
The stats for both players are showcased below.
DATE | TOURNAMENT | POS | OVERALL SCORE | EARNINGS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/15 – 9/18 | Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course) | T43 | 69-70-73-71 | 283 (-5) | $24,760 |
9/29 – 10/2 | Country Club of Jackson | T30 | 69-68-72-71 | 280 (-8) | $45,337 |
10/6 – 10/9 | TPC Summerlin | T44 | 66-72-67-68 | 273 (-11) | $23,000 |
10/13 – 10/16 | Accordia Golf Narashino CC | T40 | 69-73-65-70 | 277 (-3) | $40,260 |
10/27 – 10/30 | Butterfield Bermuda Championship Port Royal Golf Course | Missed Cut | 68-69 | 137 (-5) | — |
11/10 – 11/13 | Memorial Park Golf Course | T9 | 70-67-70-67 | 274 (-6) | $196,500 |
11/17 – 11/20 | Sea Island Resort (Seaside Course) | T46 | 67-70-71-67 | 275 (-7) | $21,749 |
1/12 – 1/15 | Waialae Country Club | T28 | 67-66-69-68 | 270 (-10) | $55,300 |
1/19 – 1/22 | Pete Dye Stadium Course | T36 | 68-69-65-70 | 272 (-16) | $38,080 |
1/25 – 1/28 | Torrey Pines (North Course) | T53 | 69-72-76-75 | 292 (+4) | $20,296 |
2/9 – 2/12 | TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) | Missed Cut | 76-69 | 145 (+3) | — |
2/16 – 2/19 | Riviera Country Club | T40 | 68-71-71-72 | 282 (-2) | $79,000 |
2/23 – 2/26 | PGA National Resort & Spa (The Champion) | T14 | 71-69-67-67 | 274 (-6) | $136,500 |
3/9 – 3/12 | TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) | T44 | 74-72-69-70 | 285 (-3) | $75,036 |
3/16 – 3/19 | Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) | T27 | 66-72-72-74 | 284 (E) | $53,190 |
4/13 – 4/16 | Harbour Town Golf Links | Missed Cut | 70-74 | 144 (+2) | — |
4/27 – 4/30 | Vidanta Vallarta | T18 | 65-71-70-67 | 273 (-11) | $98,432 |
5/4 – 5/7 | Quail Hollow Club | T27 | 70-70-70-70 | 280 (-4) | $134,125 |
5/11 – 5/14 | TPC Craig Ranch | T11 | 67-71-65-63 | 266 (-18) | $220,875 |
5/18 – 5/21 | Oak Hill Country Club | T50 | 72-70-69-76 | 287 (+7) | $37,625 |
5/25 – 5/28 | Colonial Country Club | T68 | 72-69-70-76 | 287 (+7) | $18,096 |
6/1 – 6/4 | The Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday Muirfield Village Golf Club | T24 | 72-70-71-76 | 289 (+1) | $163,000 |
6/22 – 6/25 | TPC River Highlands | T41 | 66-68-69 | 203 (-7) | — |
DATE | TOURNAMENT | POS | OVERALL SCORE | EARNINGS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/10 – 11/13 | Memorial Park Golf Course | T57 | 69-70-72-74 | 285 (+5) | $19,236 |
11/17 – 11/20 | Sea Island Resort (Seaside Course) | Missed Cut | 69-72 | 141 (-1) | — |
1/12 – 1/15 | Waialae Country Club | 75 | 69-69-72-71 | 281 (+1) | $15,405 |
1/19 – 1/22 | Pete Dye Stadium Course | T41 | 67-68-70-68 | 273 (-15) | $26,924 |
2/9 – 2/12 | TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) | T32 | 69-71-71-69 | 280 (-4) | $109,286 |
2/23 – 2/26 | PGA National Resort & Spa (The Champion) | T12 | 68-67-71-67 | 273 (-7) | $186,900 |
3/2 – 3/5 | Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge | T68 | 73-73-72-78 | 296 (+8) | $42,000 |
3/16 – 3/19 | Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) | Missed Cut | 74-78 | 152 (+10) | — |
4/6 – 4/9 | Augusta National Golf Club | T34 | 75-70-74-73 | 292 (+4) | $97,200 |
4/13 – 4/16 | Harbour Town Golf Links | T54 | 66-71-73-71 | 281 (-3) | $47,200 |
4/20 – 4/23 | TPC Louisiana | Missed Cut | 66-71 | 137 (-7) | — |
5/4 – 5/7 | Quail Hollow Club | Missed Cut | 74-75 | 149 (+7) | — |
5/18 – 5/21 | Oak Hill Country Club | T58 | 74-71-74-71 | 290 (+10) | $33,250 |
5/25 – 5/28 | Colonial Country Club | Missed Cut | 75-74 | 149 (+9) | — |
6/1 – 6/4 | The Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday Muirfield Village Golf Club | Missed Cut | 73-75 | 148 (+4) | — |
6/22 – 6/25 | TPC River Highlands | T41 | 68-66-69 | 203 (-7) | — |
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