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Prediction 1
Hatton over Kirk Head-to-head matchup (18 holes)
20/27 (-135)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Scheffler Top 5 Finish Tournament finish
10/19 (-190)
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Day four of the PGA Championship will feature fireworks as the solo leader at 6-under, Brooks Koepka, tries to win his fifth major and hold off Corey Conners and Viktor Hovland (both a stroke back) who are in search of their first.
Other players such as Justin Rose and Scottie Scheffler are within striking distance. In this article, we’ll provide a matchup tip and a tournament finish prediction.
PGA Championship Day 4 predictions: H2H Matchup
Contents
The following betting tip is for Tyrrell Hatton to record a lower score than Chris Kirk in the final round.
Tyrrell Hatton over Chris Kirk @ 20/27 (-135)
Tyrrell Hatton is one of the most talented ball strikers on the planet and has found his swing again after blowing up during his first round with a 7-over 77. The Englishman was many pundits’ pick to win or contend and could have done so had he not struggled early.
The World No. 17 has been spectacular this season with four top-six finishes including a solo second at the Players Championship. He’s managed to miss only one cut in 11 starts and finish inside the top 20 seven times (63.6%).
The 2020 winner of the Arnold Palmer Invitational also has performed better in final rounds compared to his competitor Chris Kirk.
Hatton vs. Kirk Final Rounds (last 10)
| Hatton | Kirk |
| 64 | 74 |
| 70 | 72 |
| 66 | 71 |
| 76 | 72 |
| 65 | 73 |
| 72 | 69 |
| 71 | 64 |
| 69 | 68 |
| 69 | 72 |
| 68 | 75 |
Hatton has shot lower than Kirk in 6 of his last 10 final rounds and has a scoring average of 69 during that span vs. the American’s 71.
Tyrrell Hatton and Chris Kirk post the first below-par rounds on moving day at the PGA Championship.
Hatton 69 (-1)
+2.99 SG: T2G
+1.35 SG: PUTT
6/6 ScramblingKirk 69 (-1)
+2.19 SG: APP
+1.49 SG: PUTT
12/18 Greens Hit— Underdog Golf (@Underdog__Golf) May 20, 2023
Bet365 Sportsbook’s line of -135 definitely provides value. Caesars is offering the same bet with worse odds of -155.
Tournament finish betting tip
Scottie Scheffler to finish top 5 @ 10/19 (-190)
The world’s second-ranked player currently sits in a tie for fifth with Justin Rose at 2-under par after recording a round of 3-over par on Saturday.
Scheffler is just four strokes back of the lead and will try and bring his usually elevated game to try and win his second major championship. On Thursday, the Texan noted that Oak Hill definitely fits his play style, but it will be up to him to execute.
Executing is what he does best, as he’s recorded seven top 5s including a win at the WM Phoenix Open in 13 events played (54%).
Scheffler has found himself in the 60s during final rounds in eight of his appearances this campaign. The 26-year-old leads all players on the PGA Tour in strokes gained off the tee, SG tee-to-green, greens in regulation and is second in total strokes gained.
Splashing to safety 🤯
Scottie Scheffler managed to skip this ball right across the water 💦 pic.twitter.com/pD7AC17ksR
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 21, 2023
Assuming he bounces back as he usually does, he’ll secure another top-five finish.
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