Formula One

F1 Canadian GP Predictions and Betting Tips

F1 will be in Montreal this weekend for the Canadian Grand Prix. Here are some of our betting tips for this weekend’s race.

*These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Friday was a rather unusual day in Montreal. FP1 was interrupted by a CCTV problem, FP2 was brought to an early end by a sudden rain shower, and Red Bull struggled for pace. How much of this will carry over into Saturday and Sunday?

Leclerc Podium Finish

Could this be the weekend Ferrari has been dreaming of? The Scuderia has endured a terrible start to 2023, with only one podium finish to its name through the first seven races. Aside from the one-off at Azerbaijan, Ferrari has been nowhere near the front of the pack.

But things are looking a lot better in Canada. Sainz was third on Friday, while Leclerc was fifth. The results were solid, but Ferrari’s long run pace was the most encouraging sign. Leclerc was only a tenth off Verstappen in the long runs on mediums – a massive step forward for a team that has struggled with excessive wear and poor race pace. For now, Leclerc is looking like a podium contender – and possibly a win contender as well.

Over 17.5 Classified Finishers

Drivers have been fairly safe this year, and the cars have been almost bullet-proof. Five of the first seven Grand Prix saw two or fewer retirements, and therefore over the 17.5 line. Miami and Barcelona did not have a single retirement.

Montreal can be a tricky track, especially with the walls so close to the track. But the Canadian GP track has only averaged three retirements per race over the past five editions. Going one retirement under that average seems like a realistic proposition for 2023.

Post-Qualifying Update

Verstappen scored his third consecutive pole position, and fifth of 2023. In what was almost a carbon copy of last year’s GP, the reigning champion was the best under heavy rain on Saturday, beating out a surprising Nico Hulkenberg to the top spot. However, the Haas driver picked up a three-place grid penalty for exceeding the speed limit under a red flag, which promoted Fernando Alonso to the front row. Ferrari endured a miserable session, as Leclerc was out in Q2 and Sainz was penalized for impeding Pierre Gasly in Q1. Mercedes duo Hamilton and Russell moved up to third and fourth respectively.

F1 Canada Weather Condition

Rain is going to be a constant threat this weekend, with a 80% chance on Saturday and a 40% chance on Sunday. While Montreal in June is known for the high temperatures, that is not going to be the case this weekend. With overcast skies, temeprature is going to be around 19ºC in qualifying on Saturdaym climbing up to 23ºC for the Grand Prix on Sunday.

F1 Canadian Grand Prix Important Details

F1 Canadian GP predictions
Lance Stroll (CDN) Aston Martin F1 Team AMR23 leads George Russell (GBR) Mercedes AMG F1 W14. 16.06.2023. Formula 1 World Championship, Rd 9, Canadian Grand Prix, Montreal, Canada, Practice Day. –, EMail: [email protected] © Copyright: Coates / XPB Images – Photo by Icon sport
  • When is the Canadian Grand Prix starting? The Canadian Grand Prix is scheduled to start at 6:00 pm GMT on Sunday, June 18.
  • Which F1 tyres will be available this weekend? Pirelli has made the C3, C4 and C5 compounds available for  this weekend’s race. These are the three softest compounds, which will be helped by Circuit Gilles Villeneuve’s low abrasiveness.
  • How Can I Watch the F1 Canadian Grand Prix in the UK? You will be able to watch the Canadian Grand Prix live on Sky Sports (TV) and on NOW (streaming). If you miss out on the race, you can also catch up the highlights show on Channel 4.


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