France vs Wales Prediction and Odds: Six Nations

The middle game of Saturday’s final round of 2023 Six Nations fixtures sees France, still in the hunt for the title, against Wales, who could be fighting to avoid the Wooden Spoon by the time this match begins. France thrashed England at Twickenham last weekend whilst Wales finally got their first win of this campaign, away in Italy.

Many commentators have described France’s performance at Twickenham as one of the best displays of rugby for many years. Although England are by no means at their best, they are still a tough nut to crack, but they were blown away by a vintage French display.

Wales got the win in Rome but there were still question marks about their display with Italy considered unfortunate to be on the wrong end of the 29-17 scoreline. The victory was Warren Gatland’s first since coming back as head coach and he will be keen to see if he can pull off an incredible upset in Paris to conclude this campaign.

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

France vs Wales – Match Prediction

With plenty riding on this match, let’s zoom in on our recommended bets below.

France to Win by 31-35 Points @ 7/1 (8.00)

As any rugby fan who has been keeping a close eye on the Six Nations permutations ahead of this final round of fixtures will know, France need to win and to score at least four tries. In other words, we expect wave after wave of French attacks which, inevitably, will also leave them open to Welsh responses. France won by a margin of 43 points at Twickenham last weekend and we are predicting a margin of 31-35 in this clash.

Thomas Ramos Over 15.5 Total Points @ 11/8 (2.38)

The French full-back, Thomas Ramos, has scored 68 points in the 2023 Six Nations, 36 points more than his nearest challenger. We expect him to be busy again on Saturday and see him scoring an additional 16 points at least.

France vs Wales Preview

There were positive results for both teams last weekend but that has not stopped either coach from making changes to their starting XV for this game.France vs WalesFrance

After the way Les Bleus played at Twickenham last weekend, it is no surprise to see Fabien Galthie making only two changes to the side. One of those is due to a return from suspension – Uini Atonio; with the other, Romain Taofifenua coming in for the injured Paul Willemse. France are very close to full strength.

France XV: 15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Damian Penaud, 13 Gael Fickou, 12 Jonathan Danty, 11 Ethan Dumortier, 10 Romain Ntamack, 9 Antoine Dupont (c), 1 Cyril Baille, 2 Julien Marchand, 3 Uini Atonio, 4 Thibaud Flament, 5 Romain Taofifenua, 6 Francois Cros, 7 Charles Ollivon, 8 Gregory Alldritt


There are six changes for Wales from the team who beat Italy in Rome last week and gave themselves the best chance of avoiding the Wooden Spoon. Dafydd Jenkins, Jac Morgan and Liam Williams all miss out whereas Taulupe Faletau will win his 100th cap and plays at number eight.

Wales XV: 15 Louis Rees-Zammit, 14 Josh Adams, 13 George North, 12 Nick Tompkins, 11 Rio Dyer, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Rhys Webb, 1 Wyn Jones, 2 Ken Owens (c), 3 Tomas Francis, 4 Adam Beard, 5 Alun Wyn Jones, 6 Aaron Wainwright, 7 Justin Tipuric, 8 Taulupe Faletau

France vs Wales Head to Head

At the end of 2019, Wales enjoyed a 51-44 head to head lead over France but that has been narrowed to 51-48 ahead of this game. France are the overwhelming favourites to narrow the gap even further during this match and make it five wins on the bounce against Wales.

France vs Wales Match Details

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