Tennis

Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula prediction and odds: US Open 2023

Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula prediction and odds: US Open 2023
Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA - Photo by Icon sport

The start of the second week at the US Open is giving is an exciting all-American duel between two top-20 players. Both Keys and Pegula have been in exceptional form, making this clash a must-watch at Flushing Meadows. For the latest insights and betting tips on the US Open 2023, be sure to check out our predictions for the WTA women’s event.

Our favourite Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula match predictions

The world number 3 Jess Pegula has been accumulating US Open wins with great intensity these days as she’s fighting on three fronts (singles, doubles and mixed doubles). Her opponent Madison Keys has impressed too and she seems to be back to her best form.

Prediction 1: Jessica Pegula to win @11/20 (1.55)

Jess Pegula looks like a player on a mission right now. Her recent title at Montreal and her form during the first week at Flushing Meadows when she accumulated 6 wins give us confidence that she can prevail in this all-American duel.

Also, just 10 months ago Pegula won the only previous clash between the players in straight sets.

Prediction 2: Set with most games: First @11/10 (2.10)

Madison Keys saw 7 of her last 11 matches on the Tour produce the most number of games in the first set. For Pegula’s singles matches this was true for 6 of her last 8 outings.

All this makes us believe that the same could happen again now and the first set to be the one with the highest number of total games.

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Will Jess have the Keys again?

Our predictions for this match have now been established, let’s see how these players have fared so far this season for the latest tennis betting tips and predictions here.

Madison Keys preview

Madison Keys seems to be resurrecting her stagnating career this season. The experienced American is back in the world’s top 20. She has reached 7 quarterfinals this season already, won the title in Eastbourne, and has now made it to week 2 at Flushing Meadows for the first time since 2019.

Keys won her first two matches easily but in her last match, she had to fight back from a set down before beating Ludmila Samsonova 5-7, 6-2, 6-2.

Keys reached the US Open final back in 2017 and then she made it through to the semis in 2018. Are these successes too far back in time?

Jessica Pegula preview

The world’s ‘richest player’ Jess Pegula has been extremely busy during week one. She accumulated 3 wins in singles, 2 in doubles and 1 more in mixed doubles. Pegula has been enjoying her summer spin on home soil so far. She won just her second career WTA1000 title in Montreal and has played some excellent tennis on hard courts.

Pegula is yet to be beyond a quarterfinal stage of a Grand Slam and yet she is only a win away from reaching three Grand Slam quarterfinals in a year for the second year running.

Jess breezed past her first 2 matches quickly but in her last outing she needed 3 sets to defeat the Wimbledon semifinalist Elina Svitolina.

Keys vs Pegula head to head

This will be only the second-ever meeting between the two. The Americans first met last October in San Diego and in a close match, Pegula won 6-4, 7-5.

Madison Keys scaled
Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

Key match details

  • When will this match start? This match starts at 16:00 GMT on September 4th.
  • Who is the reigning US Open champion? Carlos Alcaraz and Iga Swiatek are the reigning US Open champions.
  • Where can you watch the US Open? Fans in the UK can tune into Sky Sports to catch US Open action. Australian fans are also in luck with Channel 9 broadcasting action from Flushing Meadows for free.


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