Lorenzo Sonego vs Dominic Thiem Prediction and Odds: Miami Open 2023

The world number 59, Lorenzo Sonego faces the ex-world number 3 but struggling for some time Dominic Thiem in this round 1 matchup. The Austrian has fallen outside the top 100 in the world lately, he is currently 106th. This makes him receive tough draws and he is yet to win on a hard court in 2023.

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Dominic Thiem – Match Predictions

Sonego to Win

Once regarded as a top 5 player and destined for many years amongst the elite Dominic Thiem has lost almost all of his edge due to a series of injuries that ruined his 2021 and 2022 seasons. Thiem is outside the top 100 for a reason right now and he has 1 win in 9 matches so far in 2023, leaving all of the tournaments he entered this year but one small clay even in Buenos Aires in round 1.

We strongly believe that Thiem is heading towards another round 1 exit in this matchup against a heavy-hitting Italian that prefers hard surfaces. Thiem’s entire style and shot selection are built for clay courts and the Austrian uses these events mainly to get in shape for the coming clay season as he hopes to finally start winning again.

Sonego to Win 2-0

We back our first betting tip even more with the second prediction. We think Sonego will win in straight sets. The Italian already has reached 2 quarterfinals this calendar year, both on hard courts and after his unfortunate round 1 exit from Indian Wells he has been in Florida for days and preparing for a much deeper run in Miami.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Dominic Thiem Preview

Sonego continues to make steady progress with his play and results. Thiem has been heading sharply in the completely opposite direction for some time now.

Lorenzo Sonego

Sonego is only just outside the world’s top 50, but he has been having a steady 2023 so far. The Italian lost in 5 sets in round 2 of the Australian Open against the world number 13 Hurkacz.

Then in February, he reached the quarterfinals both at Montpellier and Dubai, both of these events played on hard courts. With his ambitions for the year high, by his own admission, he wants to be in the top 30 come the autumn, Sonego is eager to make a deep run in America before the Tour heads back to Europe.

Dominic Thiem

The 29-year-old Thiem hasn’t been himself since his return from his latest injury issue. The fact that his style of play is very physically demanding and better suited for clay has hardly helped him so far in 2023.

Thiem lost 8 of his 9 matches this calendar year. His only win against the world number 53 Molcan was in Argentina and on clay. With 6 of his 8 defeats in straight sets, some of them against players outside the world’s top 100, we really can’t see Thiem turning his fortunes before he steps once more on his preferred clay courts.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Dominic Thiem Head to Head

This will be the third meeting between the two. They have shared a win each so far with Sonego winning their most recent duel at the 2021 Rome Maters in 3 sets. Before that in 2019, Thiem won. Both those matches were on Thiem’s favourite surface – clay. This will be their first meeting on a hard court.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Dominic Thiem Match Details

Miami Open 2023

  • Who is the favourite? Lorenzo Sonego is seen as the clear favourite in this matchup.
  • Where I can watch it in the UK? Amazon Prime is the place to watch every Miami Open match.
  • What surface will the match be played on? The match is set to be played on an outdoor hard court.

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