Tennis

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverev prediction and odds: United Cup 2024

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverev prediction and odds: United Cup 2024
Photo by Icon sport

The 2024 United Cup officially kicked off on December 29th. And now, it’s time for Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverev in the first contest of Italy vs Germany. As for my predictions for this clash, you will find them within.

Our favourite Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverev predictions

Coming into this battle, it’s Alexander Zverev who has the advantage over Lorenzo Sonego. The German has two wins over his Italian opponent. But given that the United Cup 2024 takes place after a fairly lengthy break, it’s tough to say that one guy is showing better form than the other. 

For that reason, I’ve compared game styles, previous matches, and the expected conditions in Australia to generate the following two predictions:

Zverev to win 2-0 @ 3/4 (1.75)

When creating my Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverev prediction, I’ve looked at their two previous meetings. The most recent of these was in 2023, and Zverev won in straight sets. Additionally, the previous meeting resulted in a straight-set win for Zverev, too, so I believe this is a good call given the quick conditions in Australia.

Zverev -3.5 games handicap @ 3/4 (1.75)

Since I think that Zverev will beat Sonego in straight sets in this match, it makes sense to shoot for a -3.5 game handicap, too. Given that Zverev’s serve is one of his biggest assets, he’s obviously hard to break. And with that in mind, if he serves well, all he needs is a single break in each set for this market to come through.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverev odds

The chance of Sonego winning this one is 28.6% based on the latest moneyline odds. As for Zverev, his winning probability is 77.8%.

Zverev hoping for the hat-trick against Sonego

Ahead of this United Cup 2024 group game, I’d like to share a preview for each individual. This way, you have an idea of a few key points that back up the Sonego vs Zverev predictions shared above.

Lorenzo Sonego preview

As the odds indicate for this match, Lorenzo Sonego isn’t the favourite. That’s because he has lost to Zverev in both of their previous meetings. Adding to that, his form towards the end of the 2023 season was somewhat ropey, which is why he is down at 46 in the ATP rankings right now.

Alexander Zverev preview

The end of the 2023 season was very different for Alexander Zverev compared to Lorenzo Sonego. He made his comeback from injury official by qualifying for the 2023 ATP Finals, and he is currently ranked 7 in the world. Furthermore, the only losses he has taken in his last three events have come against top 10 opponents.

Sonego vs Zverev head to head

These two guys have faced off twice in their careers – once in 2023 and once in 2021. On both occasions, it was Alexander Zverev who got the win in straight sets, which obviously bodes well for this upcoming United Cup 2024 contest. Adding to that, their most recent meeting was played on outdoor hard courts in Dubai, where the conditions aren’t all that different from Australia.

Key match details

Zverev vs Sonego prediction United Cup 2024
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – December 30th, 08:00 GMT
  • Venue – Sydney, Australia
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports


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