Jelena Ostapenko vs Naomi Osaka prediction and odds: US Open 2024

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This has to be one of the biggest first rounds of the 2024 US Open! The 10th seed, Ostapenko, is facing Osaka – a wildcard who has previously won the tournament. That means my tennis predictions today are ready to roll with some high value tips, as explained below.

Our favourite Jelena Ostapenko vs Naomi Osaka predictions

Contents

1 Our favourite Jelena Ostapenko vs Naomi Osaka predictions
2 Will we see an immediate upset in the women’s singles?
3 Key match details

This is a match that guarantees fireworks, and it’s one that could go either way, in my opinion. Both players have serious weapons in their game, so big hitting and quick-pace points will be a key feature here. As for the best markets to cover, I believe that the following two options should serve pundits well:

Over 21.5 games @ 17/20 (1.85)

Since both of these players hit big from the back of the court and like to play aggressively, they have very similar styles. This already makes for a close encounter, and in first rounds, nerves play a part in close scorelines, too. Therefore, I think this market has real value.

Osaka to win @ 13/20 (1.65)

Although Ostapenko is the 10th seed, Naomi Osaka has the edge for me in this one. She’s a previous champion, and she has shown us what she can do in 2024. Additionally, Ostapenko hasn’t been producing amazing results in recent weeks, which makes her vulnerable to a player like Osaka.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Naomi Osaka odds

The latest odds for this encounter show that Ostapenko has a 46.50% probability of winning this match. In contrast, Osaka has a 60.60% chance of success.

Will we see an immediate upset in the women’s singles?

Let me cover a few important details for these two prior to any bets being placed.

Jelena Ostapenko preview

As the 10th seed, Ostapenko is meant to make a deep draw run – on paper. However, as you’ve seen with the odds shared above, she’s the underdog for this particular encounter. She has lost to Osaka in the past, and to make matters worse, she’s bombed out early in both of the build-up tournaments for the 2024 US Open.

Naomi Osaka preview

Osaka hasn’t exactly produced stunning results in North America this year. But she has been solid in previous tournaments and she has taken the top players in the world all the way this season. As mentioned above, she knows what it takes to win these kinds of matches at the US Open, too. This is reflected by her US Open titles from 2018 and 2020.

Ostapenko vs Osaka head to head

The head-to-head between Ostapenko and Osaka sits at 1-0 in favour of the wildcard, Naomi Osaka. She beat Ostapenko many years ago – all the way back in 2016, as it happens. And because this is such a long time ago, in reality, this won’t have much of a bearing on the potential outcome here.