Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev prediction and odds: ATP Finals 2023

Andrey Rublev ATP Finals
Photo by Icon sport

The ATP Finals kick off with an all-Russian face-off as Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev set the court on fire, promising a scintillating start to the Red Group’s proceedings.

Our favourite Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev – match predictions

The Medvedev-Rublev rivalry goes back to October 2016 and has continued to match up against each other since. They were last seen together in the US Open quarter-finals where Medvedev trounced his younger compatriot in straight sets.

2-1 to Daniil Medvedev @ 29/10 (3.90)

Daniil has had a spectacular year and has 64 wins to show for. Two of these came against Andrey, once in the Dubai Open final and once in the aforementioned US Open. We anticipate the trend to continue in this duel but we expect the match to go into overtime. Rublev was praised by Novak Djokovic for squeezing him like a serpent in their last duel. Moreover, four of Medvedev’s last five matches have seen a deciding set and this encounter will not be any different.

Over 24.5 Games @ 11/10 (2.10)

Four of the last five matches involving Medvedev have seen at least 25 games being played. On the other hand, Rublev is entering this encounter on the back of successive three-set outings. Add to the fact that two of the last four duels between the two Russian stars have seen 25 or more games. As they meet again, we expect this trend to continue with at least 24.5 games being played.

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev odds

In this riveting encounter at the ATP Finals, Medvedev strides onto the court as the clear favourite, boasting a robust 65.4% chance of securing victory. Opposing him, Rublev will be entering the contest with a 40.8% probability of pulling off an upset.

Medvedev and Rublev gear up for intense ATP Finals opener

Our predictions for this match have now been established, let’s see how these players have fared so far this season. Meanwhile, you should also check our latest ATP Finals tips and predictions here.

Daniil Medvedev preview

Medvedev has been a tour de force in 2023, boasting an impressive 64-16 record with notable victories securing five titles in Rotterdam, Doha, Dubai, Miami, and Rome. Despite finishing as the runner-up in the US Open, Indian Wells, Beijing Open, and Vienna Open, with Jannik Sinner emerging victorious in the latter two, Medvedev’s consistent performance underscores his prowess on the court.

Andrey Rublev preview

Continuing his streak of 50+ wins for the third consecutive year, Rublev’s triumphs include notable titles in the Monte-Carlo Masters and Bastad Open. However, his inability to seize victories in Dubai, Banja Luka, Halle, and Shanghai Masters serves as a haunting backdrop to an otherwise commendable year. Rublev’s consistency juxtaposed with near-misses amplifies the anticipation for a breakthrough at the ATP Finals.

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev head to head

Medvedev maintains a commanding 7-2 lead in the head-to-head against Rublev. The lopsided history sets the stage for a compelling clash in the ATP Finals.

Key match details

Daniil Medvedev ATP Finals
Photo by Icon sport
  • When will this match start? This match starts at 20:00 on 13th November.
  • What is the prize money for ATP Finals 2023? The total prize money for ATP Finals 2023 is $15,000,000.
  • Who is the reigning ATP Finals champion? Novak Djokovic is the reigning ATP Finals champion.

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