Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction and odds: Australian Open 2024

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction and odds: Australian Open 2024

It’s very much the business end of the 2024 Australian Open. As the second batch of quarter-finals enters the Australian Open schedule, it’s all to play for. But who will advance in the Zverev vs Alcaraz clash and what markets should you consider backing? Let’s dive in.

Our favourite Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions

The head-to-head is incredibly close with these two, making the tennis predictions today a little tricky. To be specific, Zverev holds a 4-3 lead over Alcaraz, although the Spaniard is the number 2 seed this year. And interestingly, Zverev beat Alcaraz in their most recent meeting, which was at the 2023 ATP Finals.

So, what are the most appealing markets to cover for this match? I’ve shared my thoughts below.

Zverev to win a set – yes @ 13/20 (1.65)

There are a few reasons why I believe Zverev will grab a set from the young Spaniard. Firstly, he will be confident given he beat Alcaraz at the 2023 ATP Finals. Secondly, I know that if Zverev brings his A-game, he can seriously trouble Alcaraz due to his serve and heavy groundstrokes. 

Carlos Alcaraz to win 3-1 @ 13/5 (3.60)

Although I think that Alexander Zverev will take a set in this match, I would be surprised if he manages to push Alcaraz all the way. I’ve watched both guys throughout the tournament, and Alcaraz seems sharper than Zverev on the whole. He will also be sharper in the fitness department, as he has been more efficient than the German in his previous rounds.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz odds

The probability that Zverev wins this match is just 22.20%. As for the chance of a first semi-final at the Australian Open for Alcaraz, this is 83.30%. 

Alcaraz bidding for first Australian Open semi-final against Zverev

At the end of the day, one of these guys will be playing for a spot in the final if they win this match. But before it all begins, let me share some more details about the two players:

Alexander Zverev preview

This is familiar territory for Zverev in Melbourne. He made the semi-finals in 2020, and he certainly has the game to do it again. I just have doubts over his physical fitness since he had an epic battle with Norrie in the fourth round. Then again, he has beaten Alcaraz 4 times before, so he clearly knows how to do it.

Carlos Alcaraz preview

Believe it or not, this is the first time that Alcaraz has reached the quarter-finals in Melbourne. He did miss last year, however, so we can probably cut him some slack. As for his recent form and chances here, he has lost just one set all tournament. So he will definitely have the advantage in the heat of Australia.

Zverev vs Alcaraz head to head

The head-to-head record for Zverev vs Alcaraz is 4-3 in favour of the German right now. And as mentioned previously, he won their most recent clash at the ATP Finals last season in three sets. However, in the 2023 US Open, Alcaraz took him out in straight sets, which makes this one rather interesting.

Key match details

Zverev vs Alcaraz prediction Australian Open

  • Match Schedule – January 24th, 09:45 GMT
  • Venue – Melbourne, Australia
  • Viewing Options – Eurosport, Discovery+

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