Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul Prediction and Odds: Miami Open 2023

A place in the fourth round of the Miami Open is up for grabs as the world number 25 Davidovich Fokina and the world number 19 Tommy Paul go up against each other on Sunday. Which of these players will be left standing at the end of this match?

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with the bookmaker before placing the bet.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul – Match Predictions

Here are our predictions and tips for this match between two good players that know how to hit winners and extend rallies.

Total Sets – 3

With the two players so close to each other in the world rankings we expect this to be a close match and that’s why predict that the winner will need 3 sets before triumphing. We also take into consideration the fact that the only previous match between the two was a 5-set thriller only a few months back.

Also, Paul has played 3 sets in 4 of his last 5 matches on the tour. Clearly even when winning he can’t do it in a very convincing style right now.

Set 1 – 9-10 Games

Our next free betting tip is that the first set of this match will have 9 or 10 games, which means a 6-3 or 6-4 outcome for either player. We base that prediction on the fact that 8 out of Paul’s last 11 sets on the tour had 9-10 games in them. Also, 6 of the last 9 sets Davidovich Fokina played were resolved in 9-10 games.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul Preview

We’ve established our Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul predictions. Now let’s look at how these players performed in recent weeks.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Davidovich Fokina is having a solid, if not excellent, year so far. He already reached 3 quarterfinals in 2023, including in the recently finished Indian Wells, but he suffered a painful round 2 exit from the Australian Open exactly at the hands of Paul, so now the Spaniard will be out for revenge.

Davidovich Fokina likes hard courts and in round 2 of the 2023 Miami Open, he beat another American Nakashima in straight sets.

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul is having an amazing 2023 so far. He reached the Australian Open semi-finals, there only the future champion Djokovic stopped him, and with this Paul established himself as a top 20 player. Paul then went to the final in Acapulco and to round 3 at the Indian Wells, with his record so far this calendar year reading 15 wins and only 5 defeats.

Paul looked a bit insecure in his first match in Miami on Friday. He had to come from a set down before eventually edging the Swiss Huesler 6-4 in the third set.

Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul Head to Head

The only previous meeting between the two was back in January during the Australian Open and the players produced a 5-set thriller that Paul ended up edging after nearly 4 hours of tennis.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul Match Details

Miami Open Hard Rock 06

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