Wyndham Championship 2023 – Day 3 Betting Tips and Predictions

Wyndham Championship 2023 – Day 3 Betting Tips and Predictions
Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA - Photo by Icon Sport

After two days at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, N.C., Russell Henley holds the 36-hole at 12-under par after carding a 4-under round of 66 Friday.

The pro out of Macon, Georgia, has a chance to win for the second time this season and can be the second-straight wire-to-wire winner in back-to-back weeks should he maintain the lead. Lee Hodges accomplished the feat last week at the 3M Open.

Billy Horschel sits in solo second, trailing by one stroke after posting an 8-under round of 62. He’s followed by Adam Svensson, Lucas Glover and Byeong hun-An at 10-under.

In this piece, we’ll provide two betting preditions for the third round.

Wyndham Championship Day 3 Tips: Head-to-head Matchups

The matchups featured below are only for Saturday’s round.

Adam Schenk over Matt Nesmith @ 10/12 (-120)

Adam Schenk’s game can be a little streaky at times, but when he makes the cut, he tends to contend. In his four previous tournaments where he qualified for the weekend, the 31-year-old posted finishes of 2nd, T7, 7th and T4. If looking even a little earlier on in the schedule since mid-March, he finished T31 at the RBC Heritage and solo second at the Valspar after making the cut.

The former Purdue Boilermaker has also recorded five-straight third rounds in the 60s, averaging a 68 in round threes during that span. In Nesmith’s last five third rounds, he’s only broken 70 twice and is averaging a round-three score of 70.8, which is an average of 2.8 strokes worse than Schenk.

For the entire season, Schenk has averaged 0.79 strokes lower in the third round than Nesmith.

Third-round scoring averages

  • Schenk: 69.83 in 18 rounds (Ranked 64th)
  • Nesmith: 70.62 in 13 rounds (Ranked 138th)

The Vincennes, Indiana native has also averaged 0.552 strokes better than Nesmith over the course of the full PGA Tour calendar.

Total scoring averages

  • Schenk: 70.502 in 93 rounds (Ranked 53rd)
  • Nesmith: 71.054 in 73 rounds (Ranked 99th)

This season, Schenk has averaged 0.751 more strokes gained per round than Nesmith.

Average strokes gained total

  • Schenk: 0.809 in 77 measured rounds (Ranked 30th)
  • Nesmith: 0.058 in 63 measured rounds (Ranked 103rd)

In their last three shared events, where both made the cut at the John Deere Classic, the Charles Schwab Challenge and the RBC Heritage, Schenk picked up more strokes in all three tournaments and recorded a better finish than Nesmith in all of them.

Si Woo Kim over Michael Kim @ 5/8 (-160)

Si Woo Kim has been a horse for the course at Sedgefield Country Club. The South Korean won the Wyndham Championship in his first start at the event in 2016 and has recorded three top-five finishes in his last three appearances.

Si Woo Kim’s results at the Wyndham Championship

  • 2021: 2nd
  • 2020: 3rd
  • 2019: 5th
  • 2018: MC
  • 2016: 1st

Si Woo Kim finished much higher than Kim in the four years both participated in the event.

Michael Kim’s results at the Wyndham Championship

  • 2021: 65th
  • 2020: MC
  • 2019: MC
  • 2017: 64th
  • 2016: 75th

In five appearances, Si Woo Kim has averaged just over four strokes gained more per round compared to Michael Kim.

Average strokes gained per round at Sedgefield

  • Si Woo Kim: 2.09
  • Michael Kim: -2.19

The University of California Berkeley product, Michael Kim, is also averaging 0.88 strokes worse in the third rounds this season than Si Woo Kim.

Third-round scoring averages

  • Si Woo Kim: 69.76 in 17 rounds (Ranked 61st)
  • Michael Kim: 70.64 in 14 rounds (Ranked 140th)

In terms of total scoring averages, the Yonsei University product, Si Woo Kim, has averaged .846 strokes better than his fellow Korean (Both are from Seoul).

Total scoring averages

  • Si Woo Kim: 70.181 in 78 rounds (Ranked 28th)
  • Michael Kim: 71.027 in 81 rounds (Ranked 97th)

The 5/8 (-160) odds provided by Unibet are a little hefty for my liking, but with Si Woo Kim’s game fitting Sedgefield so well and being the better overall player, the price is fair.

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