Golf

US Open 2023 – Day 2 Betting Tip and Prediction

US Open 2023 – Day 2 Betting Tip and Prediction
Photo by Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA - Photo by Icon Sport

After an exciting day one at the U.S. Open (Los Angeles Country Club) featuring co-leaders Rickie Fowler and Xander Schauffele posting the lowest scores (8-under, 62) in tournament history, players know what they must do to catch the pair of Californians.

In this article, we’ll provide an in-depth analysis of a U.S. Open betting tip for day two.

U.S. Open Day 2 prediction: Matchup (18 holes)

The following head-to-head matchup is only for the second round.

Matt Fitzpatrick over Cameron Young 4/5 (-125)

Defending champion Matt Fitzpatrick opened his 2023 U.S. Open account with a 1-over par 71 on Thursday. Cameron Young shot a stroke worse with a 2-over par 72.

Both players will tee off at similar times, around 11 a.m. ET on Friday. In round one, the course showed its teeth during the morning, and not many players were able to reach red numbers until the afternoon. These conditions definitely benefit Fitzpatrick and hurt Young due to the form of each golfer.

Fitzpatrick tends to play better in difficult conditions and did so when he won at Brookline last year. This season, he struggled during February and March with a few missed cuts while playing through a nagging neck injury. Since the Masters, he’s been healthy and has performed much better.

Fitzpatrick results since April

TournamentResult/Scores
MastersT10 (70-72-72-70)
RBC Heritage1st  (66-70-63-68)
Zurich Classic (team event)T19 (62-71-62-74)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipT35 (69-70-72-70)
PGA ChampionshipMissed cut (76-70)
The MemorialT9 (76-68-70-72)
RBC Canadian OpenT20 (68-73-69-70)

The state of Young’s game is in much worse shape than Fitzpatrick’s. Despite the American being highly touted for a breakout year, it’s been the complete opposite. Young played well at Augusta earning a tie for seventh, but since then he’s played extremely poorly, failing to end higher than T51 on event leaderboards.

Young results since April

TournamentResult/Scores
MastersT7 (67-72-75-68)
RBC HeritageT51 (71-68-70-71)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipT59 (71-70-72-73)
PGA ChampionshipMissed cut (74-75)
The MemorialMissed cut (74-75)
RBC Canadian OpenT57 (71-72-74-70)

With bad results come bad rounds. What’s even more astonishing is that since the Masters, Young has only broken 70 once in 17 rounds (5.8%) including at the U.S. Open. In those 17 rounds, he’s shot 72 or worse nine times. In 19 rounds since the Masters, excluding the Zurich Classic (team event), Fitzpatrick has broken 70 on seven occasions (36.8%).

Round 2 scoring averages (entire season)

  • Fitzpatrick: 70.29
  • Young: 71.21

Round 2 scoring averages (since the Masters)

  • Fitzpatrick: 70.57
  • Young: 72

The difference in play between the two has been significant as of late. At the PGA Championship and Memorial (two difficult courses), Young shot 74 and 75 (+9) in rounds one and two of both events leading to missed cuts. Fitzpatrick shot 76 and 70 (+6) at the PGA en route to a missed cut and 76, 68, 70, 72 (-2, T9) at the Memorial.

In last week’s RBC Canadian Open, where 17-under (birdie fest) was the lowest score in regulation, Young finished 16 strokes behind the leaders at 1-under par (T57) and ended seven shots short of Fitzpatrick (8-under, T20). Young also managed to shoot a 74 in the third round.

In terms of strokes gained over the past ten rounds, Young has finished in the negative seven times while Fitzpatrick has gained strokes in six.

With Fitzpatrick finishing better than Young in four of the last five tournaments they’ve competed in (both missed the cut at the PGA), there’s definitely value in the 4/5 (-125) odds being offered by Bet365 in the Englishman’s favor. A major championship track like Los Angeles Country Club, even if it’s playing slightly easier, isn’t the place to expect a turnaround in someone’s game.


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