Three Value Bets for the Masters – Top Outright Betting Tips

Three Value Bets for the Masters – Top Outright Betting Tips
Aug 19, 2022; Wilmington, Delaware, USA; Jordan Spieth plays his shot from the ninth tee during the second round of the BMW Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA - Photo by Icon sport

The Masters is arguably the most historic golf tournament in history. The event brings in spectators from all over the world and has an exceptionally high viewership on television from even casual sports fans.

This also goes for bettors. This article will provide three Masters betting tips for head-to-head matchups and tournament finishes. 

Masters Tournament Matchups – Jon Rahm to Win Over Patrick Cantlay

The following head-to-head matchup is for all four rounds of the tournament. The player with the lower score after the tournament’s conclusion is considered the victor.

Jon Rahm was in the hottest form of his life a month ago and recently was ranked No. 1. In 2023, he currently sits at No. 3. The former Arizona State product has won three events this year, including the Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express (wins in back-to-back starts) and the Genesis Invitational.

He’s also amassed seven top-8 finishes in nine events (excluding the WGC Matchplay). His other two results are a T39 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational after leading during the first round and a withdrawal at The Players Championship due to a stomach bug. The Spaniard sat near the top of the leaderboard after day one.

Rahm’s record in majors and at Augusta National has been much more consistent than Patrick Cantlay’s. Since his first Masters in 2017, Rahm has notched four top-9 finishes, with his two worst results being T27 (2017 and 2022). Cantlay has played in five Masters as a pro since 2018 with the following results: cut, T9, T17, cut and T39.

Rahm has finished higher than Cantlay in every Masters they’ve participated in together. He’s also been above Cantlay on three-of-four leaderboards in events they’ve been in since the start of the year (excluding the match-play event).

The 2021 U.S. Open Champion has seen a dip in head-to-head and outright odds due to his fall in form at the WGC Matchplay and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Our advice is to capitalize on the value and take Rahm to defeat Cantlay.

Top 20 Finish – Jordan Spieth

Jordan Spieth will always be known for winning the 2015 Masters at 21 years old and then collapsing a year later during the final round and enabling Danny Willett to put on the Green Jacket.

He’s also known for his consistency at the event. Since his debut in 2014, he’s finished in the top 20 six times, which includes five finishes of third or better. 

The Texas product ranks seventh or better in approaches from 150-175 yards, approaches from 250-275 yards, consecutive greens in regulation and scrambling from 20-30 yards.

This year, the Dallas native has earned six top 20s in nine events and has finished in that spot in four of his last five tournaments.

Golfers must end in the top 20 of the leaderboard for a wager to cash. Ties also count. At 4/6 odds, his line seems to be a bargain.

Top Canadian Golfer – Conners

The 31-year-old warmed up for Augusta with a trip to the Valero Texas Open, where he’d won before in 2019. Conners did exactly that once again for his second PGA Tour victory.

Since his Masters debut in 2019 (T46), he’s improved in every start and obtained three top-10 finishes. From 2020-2022, Conners finished T10, T8 and T6.

Conners is a premier ball striker with his irons. His game fits Augusta well, and he ranks 14th in greens in regulation percentage (70.22%). This season, Conners has ended leaderboards at 25th or better in 7-of-11 events.

All in all, we would take Conners to finish as the top Canadian at the Masters, over Adam Svensonn (3/1), Mackenzie Hughes (7/2) and Mike Weir (20/1).

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