Golf

PGA Championship 2023 – Day 3 Betting Tip/Prediction

PGA Championship 2023 – Day 3 Betting Tip/Prediction
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[nsn_tip count=1 tip1=”Koepka over DeChambeau ” reason1=”Head-to-head matchup (18 holes)” odds1=”20/37 (-185)” logo1=”https://punditfeed.com/app/uploads/nsntips/williamhill.png” bookmaker1=”williamhill” url1=”https://punditfeed.com/go-william-hill-uk-sports” target=”undefined” color_cta=”#000000″ text_cta=”white”]

Following the conclusion of round two at the PGA Championship, Scottie Scheffler, Corey Conners, and Viktor Hovland are tied for the lead at 5-under par.

Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Suh (3-under) sit in a tie for fourth, with Brooks Koepka and Callum Tarren (T6) within striking distance at 2-under.

Sungjae Im, Jason Day and Matt Fitzpatrick are among the top players that missed the cut at 5-over and failed to qualify for the weekend.

In this article, we’ll provide a matchup tip for round three.

PGA Championship Day 3 prediction: H2H Matchup

The following betting tip is for Brooks Koepka to record a lower score than Bryson DeChambeau in round three.

Brooks Koepka over Bryson DeChambeau @ 20/37 (-185)

After tipping Koepka to defeat Rory McIlroy yesterday successfully in round two, I’m taking the two-time PGA champion (2018-2019) once again. Koepka shot a 4-under 66 (low score of the day) on Friday to climb back into contention. DeChambeau recorded a 1-over 71.

Koepka and DeChambeau are paired together for round three and will tee off at 2:30 p.m. ET.

What was once one of the most notable feuds (Koepka vs. DeChambeau) on the PGA Tour which involved jabs left and right from both parties, as well as fans calling DeChambeau “Brooksy” has been put to rest.

Over the past two years (primarily since 2022) Koepka has performed much better than his compatriot and has even become “friends” with the fellow LIV Tour member.

Since October 2022, Koepka has won twice on the LIV Tour and captured five top-11 finishes. During the same span, his competitor has only achieved one top 10 (last week) and hasn’t won since the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March 2021.

Koepka vs. DeChambeau Results (previous five tournaments)

Tournament Koepka DeChambeau
LIV Golf Tulsa T5 T5
LIV Golf Singapore 3 T19
LIV Golf Adelaide T11 T26
The Masters T2 Cut
LIV Golf Orlando 1 T16

The differences in finishes are significant. Koepka (undefeated) has done better four times and tied once (4-0-1).

At the last major championship, the Masters, Koepka held the lead through the first three days and finished in a tie for second. DeChambeau recorded back-to-back rounds of 74 and missed the cut.

The chart below compares the two players’ scores during the third round of their previous five starts.

Round 3 scores in the same previous five events

Koepka DeChambeau
65 67
67 70
70 69
73 N/A (Cut)
68 67

In the last 15 majors the two have played in, Koepka has recorded a better result 12 times (80%). When DeChambeau won the 2020 U.S. Open, Koepka wasn’t in the field.

Last 15 majors (H2H)

K T2 Cut 55 T55 Cut T6 T4 T2 Cut T29 T7 T4 2 1 T2
D Cut T8 T56 Cut T33 T26 T38 T46 T4 T34 Cut T35 Cut T29 Cut

 


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