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LIV London at Centurion Golf Club featured a number of movers up the leaderboard on Saturday. With 18 holes left to play, Cameron Smith remains on top at 12-under par, followed by Louis Oosthuizen, Marc Leishman and Thomas Pieters, all trailing at 9-under. Patrick Reed sits in solo fifth, four strokes back at 8-under.
We’ll provide one day three tip in this piece on a head-to-head matchup that caught our eye.
LIV London Day 3 Prediction: Head-to-head matchup
The matchup pick provided below is just for Sunday’s final round.
Patrick Reed over Louis Oosthuizen @ 2/3 (-150)
This matchup definitely stands out due to Patrick Reed’s ability to close out tournaments and how he finishes higher a lot more often than Louis Oosthuizen.
The South African, Oosthuizen, is still talented, but the 40-year-old has definitely dipped in form according to his high standards.
Reed has earned three top-five finishes in his last six events and has finished 13th or better in five of them. Oosthuizen has one tie for sixth in his last six events.
The Texan, Reed, has averaged 2.625 strokes better than Oosthuizen in eight final rounds this season.
Final round scoring averages (LIV Only)
Patrick Reed: 68.375 (8 rounds)
Louis Oosthuizen: 71 (8 rounds)
Aside from that differential, Reed has also dominated Oosthuizen head-to-head by scoring lower in seven of the eight (87.5%) round threes.
Reed vs. Oosthuizen in final rounds
Tournament | Reed’s final round | Oosthuizen’s final round |
LIV Golf Invitational Mayakoba | 74 | 76 |
LIV Golf Invitational Tucson | 66 | 70 |
LIV Golf Invitational Orlando | 67 | 73 |
LIV Golf Invitational Adelaide | 65 | 70 |
LIV Golf Invitational Singapore | 67 | 70 |
LIV Golf Invitational Tulsa | 64 | 68 |
LIV Golf Invitational DC | 77 | 71 |
LIV Golf Invitational Andalucía | 67 | 70 |
Reed has also finished higher on the leaderboard in six of the eight (75%) LIV events. When taking majors into account, the 32-year-old has played well in them, earning a T4 at the Masters, T18 at the PGA Championship and a T56 at the U.S. Open. He recorded final rounds of 68, 70 and 69 in those three events.
Oosthuizen only played one major, the Masters, but withdrew before the conclusion of the second round.
Average finishing position on LIV
Reed: 15.8
Oosthuizen: 20.4
Comparing the two in the Official World Golf Rankings doesn’t hold as much weight due to Oosthuizen not playing in majors, but nevertheless, Reed is miles higher than his compatriot in the category.
Official World Golf Ranking
Reed: 49th
Oosthuizen: 348th
The 2/3 (-150) odds provided by Unibet definitely hold value and popped out at first glance because they should be closer to 1/2 (-200) with “Captain America’s” final round averages and overall form compared to the South African’s.
Both players’ complete tournament logs can be seen below.
DATE | TOURNAMENT | POS | OVERALL SCORE | EARNINGS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/24 – 2/26 | LIV Golf Invitational Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba | T38 | 72-72-74 | 218 (+5) | — |
3/17 – 3/19 | The Gallery Golf Club | T18 | 71-72-66 | 209 (-4) | — |
3/31 – 4/2 | Orange County National | T3 | 67-67-67 | 201 (-12) | — |
4/21 – 4/23 | LIV Golf Invitational Adelaide The Grange Golf Club | T3 | 71-65-65 | 201 (-15) | — |
4/28 – 4/30 | LIV Golf Invitational Singapore Sentosa Golf Club (Serapong Course) | T13 | 67-70-67 | 204 (-9) | — |
5/12 – 5/14 | Cedar Ridge Country Club | T11 | 69-67-64 | 200 (-10) | — |
5/26 – 5/28 | Trump National Golf Club | T35 | 69-71-77 | 217 (+1) | — |
6/30 – 7/2 | LIV Golf Invitational Andalucía Real Club Valderrama | T5 | 71-71-67 | 209 (-4) | — |
7/7 – 7/9 | Centurion Club | 5 | 70-64 | 134 (-8) | — |
Oosthuizen’s 2023 LIV Tournaments (H/T ESPN)
DATE | TOURNAMENT | POS | OVERALL SCORE | EARNINGS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/24 – 2/26 | LIV Golf Invitational Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba | T41 | 76-69-76 | 221 (+8) | — |
3/17 – 3/19 | The Gallery Golf Club | T2-y | 66-68-70 | 204 (-9) | — |
3/31 – 4/2 | Orange County National | T41 | 70-70-73 | 213 (E) | — |
4/21 – 4/23 | LIV Golf Invitational Adelaide The Grange Golf Club | T11 | 68-66-70 | 204 (-12) | — |
4/28 – 4/30 | LIV Golf Invitational Singapore Sentosa Golf Club (Serapong Course) | T16 | 66-69-70 | 205 (-8) | — |
5/12 – 5/14 | Cedar Ridge Country Club | T23 | 65-70-68 | 203 (-7) | — |
5/26 – 5/28 | Trump National Golf Club | T6 | 71-67-71 | 209 (-7) | — |
6/30 – 7/2 | LIV Golf Invitational Andalucía Real Club Valderrama | T23 | 74-72-70 | 216 (+3) | — |
7/7 – 7/9 | Centurion Club | T2 | 70-63 | 133 (-9) | — |
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