Golf

LIV Golf Invitational London – Day 3 Betting Tip and Prediction

LIV Golf Invitational London – Day 3 Betting Tip and Prediction
Patrick Reed at Centurion Golf Club. Photo by Icon Sport

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LIV London at Centurion Golf Club featured a number of movers up the leaderboard on Saturday. With 18 holes left to play, Cameron Smith remains on top at 12-under par, followed by Louis Oosthuizen, Marc Leishman and Thomas Pieters, all trailing at 9-under. Patrick Reed sits in solo fifth, four strokes back at 8-under.

We’ll provide one day three tip in this piece on a head-to-head matchup that caught our eye.

LIV London Day 3 Prediction: Head-to-head matchup

The matchup pick provided below is just for Sunday’s final round.

Patrick Reed over Louis Oosthuizen @ 2/3 (-150)

This matchup definitely stands out due to Patrick Reed’s ability to close out tournaments and how he finishes higher a lot more often than Louis Oosthuizen.

The South African, Oosthuizen, is still talented, but the 40-year-old has definitely dipped in form according to his high standards.

Reed has earned three top-five finishes in his last six events and has finished 13th or better in five of them. Oosthuizen has one tie for sixth in his last six events.

The Texan, Reed, has averaged 2.625 strokes better than Oosthuizen in eight final rounds this season.

Final round scoring averages (LIV Only)

Patrick Reed: 68.375 (8 rounds)

Louis Oosthuizen: 71 (8 rounds)

Aside from that differential, Reed has also dominated Oosthuizen head-to-head by scoring lower in seven of the eight (87.5%) round threes.

Reed vs. Oosthuizen in final rounds

Tournament Reed’s final round Oosthuizen’s final round
LIV Golf Invitational Mayakoba 74 76
LIV Golf Invitational Tucson 66 70
LIV Golf Invitational Orlando 67 73
LIV Golf Invitational Adelaide 65 70
LIV Golf Invitational Singapore 67 70
LIV Golf Invitational Tulsa 64 68
LIV Golf Invitational DC 77 71
LIV Golf Invitational Andalucía 67 70

Reed has also finished higher on the leaderboard in six of the eight (75%) LIV events. When taking majors into account, the 32-year-old has played well in them, earning a T4 at the Masters, T18 at the PGA Championship and a T56 at the U.S. Open. He recorded final rounds of 68, 70 and 69 in those three events.

Oosthuizen only played one major, the Masters, but withdrew before the conclusion of the second round.

Average finishing position on LIV

Reed: 15.8

Oosthuizen: 20.4

Comparing the two in the Official World Golf Rankings doesn’t hold as much weight due to Oosthuizen not playing in majors, but nevertheless, Reed is miles higher than his compatriot in the category.

Official World Golf Ranking

Reed: 49th

Oosthuizen: 348th

The 2/3 (-150) odds provided by Unibet definitely hold value and popped out at first glance because they should be closer to 1/2 (-200) with “Captain America’s” final round averages and overall form compared to the South African’s.

Both players’ complete tournament logs can be seen below.

Reed’s 2023 LIV Tournaments (H/T ESPN)
DATE TOURNAMENT POS OVERALL SCORE EARNINGS
2/24 – 2/26

LIV Golf Invitational Mayakoba

El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
T38 72-72-74 218 (+5)
3/17 – 3/19

LIV Golf Invitational Tucson

The Gallery Golf Club
T18 71-72-66 209 (-4)
3/31 – 4/2

LIV Golf Invitational Orlando

Orange County National
T3 67-67-67 201 (-12)
4/21 – 4/23

LIV Golf Invitational Adelaide

The Grange Golf Club
T3 71-65-65 201 (-15)
4/28 – 4/30

LIV Golf Invitational Singapore

Sentosa Golf Club (Serapong Course)
T13 67-70-67 204 (-9)
5/12 – 5/14

LIV Golf Invitational Tulsa

Cedar Ridge Country Club
T11 69-67-64 200 (-10)
5/26 – 5/28

LIV Golf Invitational DC

Trump National Golf Club
T35 69-71-77 217 (+1)
6/30 – 7/2

LIV Golf Invitational Andalucía

Real Club Valderrama
T5 71-71-67 209 (-4)
7/7 – 7/9
5 70-64 134 (-8)

Oosthuizen’s 2023 LIV Tournaments (H/T ESPN)

DATE TOURNAMENT POS OVERALL SCORE EARNINGS
2/24 – 2/26

LIV Golf Invitational Mayakoba

El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
T41 76-69-76 221 (+8)
3/17 – 3/19

LIV Golf Invitational Tucson

The Gallery Golf Club
T2-y 66-68-70 204 (-9)
3/31 – 4/2

LIV Golf Invitational Orlando

Orange County National
T41 70-70-73 213 (E)
4/21 – 4/23

LIV Golf Invitational Adelaide

The Grange Golf Club
T11 68-66-70 204 (-12)
4/28 – 4/30

LIV Golf Invitational Singapore

Sentosa Golf Club (Serapong Course)
T16 66-69-70 205 (-8)
5/12 – 5/14

LIV Golf Invitational Tulsa

Cedar Ridge Country Club
T23 65-70-68 203 (-7)
5/26 – 5/28

LIV Golf Invitational DC

Trump National Golf Club
T6 71-67-71 209 (-7)
6/30 – 7/2

LIV Golf Invitational Andalucía

Real Club Valderrama
T23 74-72-70 216 (+3)
7/7 – 7/9
T2 70-63 133 (-9)


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