Fortinet Championship 2023 picks – top betting tips and predictions

The PGA Tour is in Napa, California this week, where the Fortinet Championship will get underway on the North Course at Silverado Country Club. Last year’s winner Max Homa will be looking to retain the title that he fought so hard to secure, but can he do it again?

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Photo by Icon Sport.

The field in Napa this week won’t be the most stellar that you’ll see at PGA Tour level, that’s for sure, but there’s still no shortage of talent on show, while there will be a host of players desperate to launch themselves into the upper echelons of the game with an impressive performance. Make no mistake about, this is still a fiercely competitive event.

Fortinet Championship betting odds

As we can see below, Max Homa is a rather sturdy favourite, which means that there are plenty of punters keen on his chances of retaining his Fortinet Championship crown.

Here’s how the early betting shapes up ahead of this event:

Max Homa – 7/1

Sahith Theegala – 16/1

Justin Thomas – 16/1

Cam Davis – 20/1

Stephan Jaeger – 22/1

Beau Hossler – 25/1

Eric Cole – 30/1

J.J. Spaun – 33/1

Andrew Putnam – 35/1

Brendon Todd – 35/1

Lucas Herbert – 40/1

All other players – 45/1 and above.

Best odds taken from a selection of major bookmakers. All odds correct at the time of writing. 

Fortinet Championship betting tips

With this tournament now just about one day away, here are a selection of bets to see you through:

Max Homa top 5 finish @ 19/10 (2.90)

I’m not the hugest fan of betting on golfers to follow up a year later at the same tournament, so I won’t be on Homa to win this week, though he is very hard to avoid in then top-five market, if that’s your type of thing.

As Homa has finished 13th or better in each of his last five events, posting three top tens, we’re talking about the most in-form player in the tournament, and if we combine this form with his effort at Silverado Country Club last season, we come up with a recipe for success here. The 32-year-old is clearly one of the elite players in this field and he simply has the game to feature prominently this week. In truth, it would be both surprising and quite disappointing if the California native failed to go close in his home state. At odds of 19/10, I’m playing him to at the very least, lay down a strong challenge as he bids to win this event for a second year in a row.

Justin Thomas top 10 finish @ 21/10 (3.10)

As touched on when writing about the Fortinet Championship each-way tips for this tournament, Justin Thomas, out of the spotlight as he has been of late, is far from easy to overlook this week.

There can be absolutely no denying the lack of top, top quality at this event, at least in terms of world rankings. Many of the world’s highest ranked golfers will not be teeing it up in Napa this week, so JT is surely viewing this tournament as the perfect opportunity to get back on track. The man from Kentucky knows how to thrive at Silverado County Club too. In his last three Fortinet Championship appearances, he’s achieved third, eighth and fourth placed finishes, so I was expecting to see shorter odds available here. As a regular top-ten finisher at this event, Thomas is well worth supporting at odds of 21/10.

Chez Reavie top 20 finish @ 5/2 (3.50)

While many top players tend to skip this event, Chez Reavie is not somebody who shies away from the challenge of the North Course at Silverado Country Club. He’s been a regular at this tournament, which is not something that can be said for everybody in the field this week. I’m betting that his vast course experience can hold him in good stead here.

Reavie has made an appearance at the Fortinet Championship on 13 occasions, making him one of the most experienced players in the field. He’s missed the cut just twice during that time, while he has a host of respectable finishes at the Napa venue, finishing inside the top 20 on four occasions, including when tying for third back in 2020. Moreover, of those to have played more than four previous rounds at Silverado’s North Course in this field, only Justin Thomas, Stewart Cink and Sahith Theegala have gained more strokes (on average) per round. Such a stat will do for me. I’m on Reavie to hit the top 20 for the fifth time.

Brendon Todd top 20 finish @ 9/5 (2.80)

Next on the list of players in this field with more than four rounds in the bank at this tournament is Brendan Todd. Ahead of this week, he ranks fifth for strokes gained: total at Silverado’s North Course since 2016, as well as fourth for strokes gained: approach.

The 38-year-old has also been in solid form in recent times, recording two top-ten finishes in his last five events. Moreover, he finished in a tie for ninth here last season, having finished 22nd the year before. Those two solid performances can hold the man from Pittsburgh in good stead this week, and as such, I’m betting on him to be in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

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