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Sam Burns (each-way)
Tom Kim (each-way)
Seep Straka (each-way)
The PGA Tour train rolls on once again, stopping this week in Shelby County, Tennessee, where the FedEx St Jude Championship is set to take place at TPC Southwind. The end of the season is near and it’s time for the FedEx Cup Playoffs, which kick off here with the top 70 players getting down to business in a no-cut, no-nonsense event.
This week, the competition is fierce, as the top 70 players based on FedEx Cup points collected over the course of season, make up a top-class field. Naturally, we’re here to see if we can find a decent priced winner, but that will be anything but easy. At the very least, is there some each-way value to be had? Let’s find out.
What is Each-Way Betting?
We’re back at it once more. Ahead of each golf tournament, like so many fans and punters, we look to see if we snuff out some each-way value, but let’s first go over the basics of each-way betting for those new to the subject.
Each-way betting is often the way to go when it comes to golf tournaments. In fact, most people who bet on golf, place each-way bets. For those who don’t know, an each-way bet is essentially one bet that is split into two. In other words, part of the bet will be on a golfer to win and the other part will be on a golfer to finish in the number of places allocated by a bookmaker, typically the first five or six. This week, most bookmakers are paying at least five places on the FedEx St Jude, while a select few are offering up to eight places. Some bookmakers, such as bet365 allow you to select from a number of place options, paying up to a maximum of 12 places, though this does have an impact on the odds that you’ll receive.
If you have an each-way bet on a golfer who wins, you’ll win both parts of the bet. If the golfer does not win, but finishes in one of the allocated places, such as fifth, you’ll lose the win part of the bet, but win the place part of the bet. The place part of an each-way bet typically pays out at one quarter or one fifth of the full odds.
Here’s an example:
Imagine you have £10 each-way on Jon Rahm to win the FedEx St Jude at odds of 9/1. Your total bet will come to £20 (£10 to win, £10 to place). If Rahm comes out on top and wins the tournament, you’ll win both bets. However, if the Spaniard falls short but still finishes in one of the places, you’ll win the place part of the bet, which in this case would return £28. Why £28? Well, one fifth of 9/1 equals 1.8/1 . £10 at 1.8/1 returns £28.
Each-Way Betting Tips
Prior to this week’s action in Tennessee, three players catch the eye as potential each-way plays, so here goes:
Sam Burns @ 28/1 (8 places bet365)
First up we have Sam Burns, who comes into this event off the back of a respectable T14 finish at the Wyndham Championship last week. His form in general hasn’t been bad of late, what with the 27-year-old posting three top 20’s and one top 10 in his last seven events.
This is also an event that Burns has played well in over the last couple of seasons. 12 months ago, he finished in a respectable share of 20th, playing well without quite kicking on, but back in 2021, he showed real promise on the Shelby County track, finishing second. A replication of that form would surely see the man from Shreveport, Los Angeles go close here.
Moreover, if we look at the strokes gained stats for TPC Southwind over the last few seasons, then Burns ranks very highly indeed, which is not something to ignore in my opinion. Of those players in the field to have played eight previous rounds at the Tennessee venue, Burns ranks number for strokes gained: total, as well as third for strokes gained: approach and third for strokes gained: tee-to-green.
We’re also talking about one of the best putters on tour, as he currently ranks sixth on the PGA for strokes gained: putting, so if he can give himself plenty of scoring opportunities, you can bet that he’ll take them. 28/1 looks on the large side given his previous form in this event.
Tom Kim @ 33/1 (8 places bet365)
One of the PGA Tour’s rising stars this season has been Tom Kim, who really has played some outstanding golf, and on a regular basis too. The youngster, who only recently turned 21, will arrive in Tennessee having finished tied at the Open Championship when last seen. His effort on that occasion was a timely reminder that this is a player ready to mix it with the very best on the biggest stage. Prior to that stellar effort at Hoylake, Kim finished T6 at the Genesis Scottish Open, while he’s now posted a top 10 finish in three of his last five events.
In fact, all season long, Kim has played well in big events, finishing T16 at the Masters, T8 at the U.S Open and of course T2 at the recently concluded Open Championship. What’s more, in his first FedEx St Jude last season, Kim tussled well, finishing in a very respectable position of T13. With that experience under his belt, and after flourishing of late, the man born in the South Korean capital of Seoul could very easily kick on here.
Recent renewals of this event have highlighted the importance of strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: tee-to-green, so it bodes well that Kim ranks highly in both areas on the PGA Tour this season, while of those to have played four full rounds at TPC Southwind previously, Kim ranks as the best in the field for strokes gained: approach. This guy ticks lots of boxes as far as I’m concerned, so much so that 33/1 is worth snapping up.
Sepp Straka @ 45/1 (8 places bet365)
Finally, at 45/1, I’ve just got to have a bit on Sepp Straka, who is another man to have delivered on the big occasion this season. T7 at the PGA Championship and T2 at the Open Championship, Straka’s stock has definitely risen this season, so much so that the Austrian is now up to 24th in the world rankings.
The 30-year-old recently showed his ability to get the job done too, as he won the John Deere Classic back in early July. Such form bodes well, as does his second in this event last year. Per round on that occasion, he posted a field-topping average of 2.97 strokes gained per round, which is somewhat impressive.
The man who attended the University of Georgia has played well here before, has delivered plenty of strong performances over the last couple of months, while he has the winning taste in his mouth too. At 45/1, he’s not hard to back each-way, that’s for sure.
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