Formula One

F1 Spanish GP Predictions and Betting Tips

It’s time for another F1 race, as the series visits the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya. Check out our F1 betting tips for this weekend’s Spanish Grand Prix.

*These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

It was all Max Verstappen in free practice, as the Dutchman dominated the sessions and once again looks like the unquestionable favorite. Can the Red Bull driver extend his winning streak to three consecutive races?

Winning Margin: Over 11s

Verstappen once again looks like the clear favorite heading into the weekend. The Dutchman dominated the two free practice sessions on Friday. Verstappen was also significantly faster in the long runs, which has been an ongoing trend this season.

If the defending Spanish GP winner pulls off a repeat on Sunday, Verstappen will likely have a good chance of taking the checkered with a double-digit margin. In free practice, the reigning two-time world champion was lapping almost a full second clear of teammate Sergio Perez. His tyre dropoff wasn’t big either, as Verstappen kept lapping at a consistent pace. Even if the forecast of rain does confirm itself, the 11-plus winning margin is a realistic pick. The Dutchman won at Monaco with a 27-second margin in the wet.

Over 17.5 Classified Finishers

This season hasn’t seen too many multicar crashes nor retirements. Most races have gone almost incident free. Not even a wet Monaco Grand Prix did much to change that: last weekend’s race only saw two retirements, as Lance Stroll and Kevin Magnussen brushed the walls and chose not to continue.

Barcelona doesn’t offer a lot of overtaking opportunities, which naturally lowers the chance of race-ending incidents. Aside from the gravel traps, the track doesn’t offer too many risks either. Taking everything into consideration, expecting 18 cars to be running and classified when the checkered drops on Sunday seems to be a realistic expectation.

F1 Spain Weather Condition

Rain could once again play a factor this weekend, with a 40% chance of rain during the race. Temperature will be in the 23°C range, so a bit on the hot side – but still perfectly drivable.

Post-Qualifying Update

Verstappen will line up on pole for the Spanish GP. The defending race winner was once again dominant in qualifying, comfortably topping Q2 and Q3 while securing the top spot by over 0.45s. Carlos Sainz will line up second for his home race, while a surprising Lando Norris, who had topped Q1 and finished second in Q2, will start the race from third. It was a disappointing session for several drivers: Fernando Alonso will start down in ninth place, Sergio Perez in 11th, George Russell in 12th and Charles Leclerc could only manage 19th.

F1 Spanish Grand Prix Important Details

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#11 Sergio Perez (MEX, Oracle Red Bull Racing), #22 Yuki Tsunoda (JPN, Scuderia AlphaTauri), F1 Grand Prix of Spain at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya on June 2, 2023 in Barcelona, Spain. (Photo by HOCH ZWEI) – Photo by Icon sport
  • Which tyre compounds will be available in Barcelona? Drivers will be able to use the C1, C2 and C3 compounds, three of the hardest available. Barcelona is particularly hard on tyres, with a combination of high loads – particularly on the left side – as well as an abrasive surface and high temperatures.
  • How can I watch the F1 Spanish GP in the UK? F1 fans in the UK can catch up with the Spanish GP action live on Sky Sports F1 (TV) and NOW (streaming).
  • What is the start time for the 2023 F1 Spanish GP? The Spanish GP will start at 1:00 pm on Sunday, June 4th.


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