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Melbourne Renegades and Adelaide Strikers meet to play their final group stage match with both teams still hoping to qualify for the play-offs. A close game is expected but it is Adelaide Strikers who are favourites to win the game and have odds of 4/5 (1.80).
These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.
- Match 54, BBL 2022-23
- Tuesday January 24th, from 08:15 AM GMT
- Docklands Stadium, Melbourne
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Contents
A par total at this venue is in the region of 160-170. Spin bowlers will not get a huge amount of turn from this pitch although quick bowlers should get some assistance. Combined with the humid conditions, the ball could well move around a lot.
The forecast is for mainly cloudy conditions on Tuesday evening in Melbourne. There could well be delays to the game with thunderstorms expected to pass close-by to the stadium.
Melbourne Renegades vs Adelaide Strikers – Match Predictions
Across their last combined eight games in this year’s tournament, Melbourne Renegades and Adelaide Strikers have won one match between them. This form has seen them both drop down the table and the Strikers’ hopes of finishing in the top five now hang by a thin thread. Both teams lost their last fixture against top of the table Perth Scorchers.
The Strikers won by 20 runs when the teams went head to head in Adelaide on January 10th and, with the leading run scorer in the tournament in their side (Matthew Short), we are backing them to win this match.
Prediction 1
RenegadesTo Hit Most Sixes
5/6 (1.83)
Prediction 2
Rogers To Take Most Wickets
10/3 (4.33)
Prediction 3
Short to be Man of the Match
6/1 (7.00)
Probable 6s
Looking at the data from both team’s defeats to Perth Scorchers, Melbourne Renegades hit eight sixes in their total of 202-5 whereas Adelaide Strikers did not clear the ropes at all in their 92 all out.
We don’t expect a similar 8-0 result in this match and either team can win the game without hitting the most sixes. With Aaron Finch, Martin Guptill and Shaun Marsh in the top four, we are backing Melbourne Renegades to hit the most sixes.
Our prediction: Melbourne Renegades to Hit Most Sixes 5/6 (1.83)
Probable Wickets
After picking up a combined nine wickets in the BBL before the start of last season, Tom Rogers has taken 40 wickets across BBL11 and BBL12. He needs one more dismissal in this match to set a personal best tally of 21 wickets in a campaign.
At the Docklands Stadium, he has five wickets from three games and his medium fast bowling could be very difficult for Adelaide Strikers’ out of form batters to face in bowler friendly conditions.
Our prediction: Tom Rogers to Be the Highest Wicket Taker for Melbourne Renegades 10/3 (4.33)
Man of the Match
Matthew Short made a four-ball duck against Perth Scorchers to end a run of six games with scores between 20 and 100. He has been consistent for Adelaide Strikers across this competition and is one of only three players to have hit a century. With a strike rate of 145.85 from 13 innings, we think he is the man to produce the goods to take Adelaide Strikers through to the play-off stage.
Our prediction: Matthew Short to Be the Man of the Match 9/1 (10.00)
Melbourne Renegades vs Adelaide Strikers Preview
This is what is known in the trade as the ‘business end’ of the season and we often see cracking ties like this where both teams need a win to guarantee safe passage to the next stage.
Both Melbourne Renegades and Adelaide Strikers have no new injury concerns ahead of this game and we anticipate both sides to put out unchanged teams.
Melbourne Renegades
Captain Aaron Finch and Shaun Marsh both hit half-centuries in the defeat against Perth Scorchers and the 75 years of experience that the pair boast will be crucial in the Renegades posting a competitive score in this match.
Tom Rogers and BBL newcomer Corey Rocchhiccioli, who has taken two wickets in both of his appearances over the last week, will be the key bowlers for their side.
Playing XI: Shaun Marsh, Martin Guptill, Sam Harper (wk), Aaron Finch (c), Matt Critchley, Will Sutherland, Jack Prestwidge, Jonathan Wells, Tom Rogers, Corey Rocchiccioli, David Moody
Adelaide Strikers
Only Adam Hose (30), Colin de Grandhomme (11) and Wes Agar (11) made double figure scores for the Strikers in their last match and it looks like they will need their big names – Travis Head, Matthew Short and Alex Carey – to step up if they are to win this match.
Wes Agar has been Adelaide Strikers’ standout bowler throughout BBL12 and he will be hoping that this is not the last game that he has the opportunity to add to his 17 wickets.
Playing XI: Travis Head (c), Matthew Short, Thomas Kelly, Alex Carey (wk), Adam Hose, Colin de Grandhomme, Harry Nielsen, Benjamin Manenti, Cameron Boyce, Wes Agar, Peter Siddle
How to Watch Big Bash in the UK: Live Streaming & Channel List
At this stage of the Big Bash League, you will not want to miss any ball. If you are commuting to the office, you will be able to watch this game on the Sky Go App. Or if you are at home, you can follow every ball on the Sky Sports Cricket channel.
- Sky Sports Cricket (TV)
- SkyGo app (Streaming)
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