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Germany reached the semifinals undefeated, the only team to do so, and they have looked really impressive so far. The USA lost once already but they remain the big favourites and when they play well nobody can keep up with their scoring. What can we expect from this duel? Keep reading to find out.
- Date & Time: Friday, September 08, 2023, 01:40 p.m. GMT
- Venue: Mall of Asia Arena – Manila, Philippines
USA vs Germany basketball predictions
Contents
This clash promises to be exciting with the Germans full of confidence and having a serious height advantage. So, let’s take a closer look at our USA vs Germany basketball predictions:
Prediction 1: Dennis Schroder over 1.5 3PT FG @ 3/5 (1.60)

Our first prediction backs Germany’s leader and top scorer this tournament Dennis Schroder to knock down at least 2 shots from beyond the arc in this match. Schroder is averaging 18.0 points this tournament but he comes off wretched showing the quarterfinal where he shot only 4 out of 26 for 9 points.
Schroder was 0 of 8 from beyond the arc in this last match but he shot pretty well from distance before that. He’s averaging 2.2 3PT FG per match this World Cup and we back him to bounce back strong after the unnaturally poor showing in the last match.
Prediction 2: Jaren Jackson Jr under 8.5 points @ 8/15 (1.53)
Our next pick focuses on Team USA’s starting centre Jaren Jackson Jr. The NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year has been struggling this World Cup and in 4 of the 6 matches so far he got into foul trouble early. All that restricts Jakcons Jr’s minutes and he’s averaging only 8.2 points per game this tournament.
The Germans like to attack the paint and we can see Jackson Jr again getting into foul trouble in the coming match. With that in mind, added to the fact that Germany are the best team in the entire competition in terms of defending their paint we don’t think Jaren will score more than 8 points.
USA vs Germany preview – can Schroder lead his team all the way?
Now let’s take a closer look at the latest USA vs Germany team news ahead of their meeting in the semi-finals at the FIBA World Cup:
USA news, injuries, and starting lineups

Team USA reached the semis in a convincing style after defeating Italy 100-63. It was a vintage display from the Americans with lots of easy fast break buckets. They lead all teams for fast break points with 26.0 per game. However, their star player and top scorer Anthony Edwards had an awful showing and he finished with just 3 points and 3 rebounds.
Team USA already suffered a defeat when Lithuania beat them 110-104. In two other matches, the Americans were trailing by double-digits in the first halves. All that comes to show that this young USA roster is not invincible. USA lack size too and they might find it difficult to protect their paint against the aggressive inside Germans.
Team USA also need to find a way to get offensive rebounds for second-chance opportunities against the best rebounding team in the competition.
USA injury report:
- N/A
USA starting lineup:
J. Brunson, A. Edwards, B. Ingram, M. Bridges, J. Jackson Jr.
Germany news, injuries, and starting lineups
Germany reached the World Cup semifinals for the first time since 2002 and only for the second time in their history. They have never played in a final before. However, they are now in the last 4 and enter it as the only undefeated team in the tournament 6-0.
Germany’s size and solid threat inside combined with the enigmatic presence of Dennis Schroder on the perimeter give them plenty of different ways to hurt teams. Germany rebound very well too, they have secured 77.3% of their defensive rebounds and this is the best of all teams in this World Cup.
Germany also have the best field goal percentage from 2PT at 61.1%. They are not bad from a distance too with 38.0% as a team. All this comes to show us that Germany are undefeated for a reason and their belief is very strong right now.
Germany injury report:
- Clean bill of health.
Germany starting lineup:
D. Schroder, F. Wagner, M. Wagner, J. Voigtmann, D. Theis
USA vs Germany head-to-head matchups
The teams have met six times in the past and the Americans have won on all six occasions. Can Germany change history now?
Where to watch USA vs Germany on TV/live stream
UK residents can watch all FIBA World Cup matches on FIBA’s streaming service Courtside 1891. On the other hand, you can watch this tournament on ESPN2 and ESPN+ in the United States.
Meanwhile, German fans can watch the game on MagentaTV or stream it on Magenta Sport service.
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