French Open Tennis

Kaia Kanepi vs Madison Keys Prediction and Odds: French Open 2023

Sparks will fly as the 37-year-old veteran Kaia Kanepi takes on the experienced American Madison Keys in a round 1 French Open clash that sees two players with heavy baseline shots square off against each other. Which of these players will reign supreme at the end of this match?

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with the bookmaker before placing the bet.

Kaia Kanepi vs Madison Keys – Match Predictions

With both players eyeing a second-round spot, these are our predictions and tips for this match

Madison Keys to Win 2-0

The world number 20 Keys loves the French Open. She reached the semifinals back in 2018, and made it at least to round 3 in 6 of her last 8 appearances. She also comes into the tournament carrying an impressive 34-5 record in round 1 matches of Grand Slams.

To add to that Keys won the last 2 H2Hs vs the 37-year-old world number 74 Kanepi without dropping a set. That’s why we back her to do the same again now.

Total Games: Under 20.5

With our next free betting tip, we expect the match to have fewer than 20.5 games in it. If we believe Keys will win in straight sets this is very likely. However, even if Kanepi causes an upset. The Estonian has 14 wins over the top 20 players in her career and even at her advanced age she could be dangerous. We don’t think this will be a long-drawn battle as none of the previous 3 meetings between the players had gone the distance and the winner decided things quickly.

Kaia Kanepi vs Madison Keys Preview

Our Kanepi vs Keys predictions are out of the way; let’s explore both players’ recent form ahead of this competition.

Kaia Kanepi

Kanepi nears the end of her career and she hasn’t won more than 1 match in a row since early January and the Adelaide International. Her win-loss record so far this year is a dismal 4-11 and Kanepi is clearly struggling to compete with the much younger players that face her every time she steps on the court.

Kanepi will soon be 38 years old. Her speed is gone. Her groundstrokes remain solid but her movement on the court has declined sharply lately.

Madison Keys

The world number 20 Keys warmed up for the French Open with only 2 clay tournaments after she reached round 3 of the Australian Open earlier this year and had a few other decent runs on hard surfaces. Keys made it to the quarterfinals at Charleston in her first clay tournament. Then she also reached round 4 in Rome.

Keys loves Roland Garros and she has been very consistent every time she travels to Paris. Made at least round 3 in 6 of her last 8 appearances at the French Open and in 2018 reached the semifinals.

Kaia Kanepi vs Madison Keys Head to Head

Keys leads the head-to-head 2-1. All 3 previous matches between the two had ended in straight sets. Kanepi won the first-ever meeting, but Keys won the last 2 – at the 2017 US Open and the 2021 Indian Wells.

Kaia Kanepi vs Madison Keys Match Details

Roland Garros
(Photo by Anthony Dibon/Icon Sport)

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About the author


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball careers as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early.

Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passion, writing. For over a decade, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise.