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The 2023 Mutua Madrid Open will draw to a close on Saturday; and unlike the men’s event, this has been a great tournament for the top seeded players. Interestingly, our two finalists are ranked numbers 1 and 2 in the world; they’ve both been the most consistent players on the WTA Tour this year.
Moreover, Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will clash in a final for the second time this year, as they went toe-to-toe with each other at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix final two weeks ago. Which of these players will be left standing when it’s all said and done? Let’s have a look at both players’ chances.
Mutua Madrid Open Women’s Predictions – Outright Winner
It may interest you to know that Aryna Sabalenka has featured in 22 WTA finals in her career; she won 12 titles, losing 10 times. The Belarusian has mostly been dominant on hard courts, all but one of her career titles came on that surface. It’s important to point out that this will be Sabalenka’s sixth final on clay courts; she has a 1-4 record in clay court finals. What’s more? Sabalenka’s only clay court title came here in Madrid two years ago.
Bearing that in mind, the Belarusian player has won eight of her last nine singles matches; she surrendered just one set en route to the Mutua Madrid Open final. To be fair, Sabalenka’s only loss in that stretch came at the hands of Iga Swiatek. The Polish ace has been near-unbeatable since the start of the clay court swing. In 2023, Swiatek has a perfect nine wins from nine on this surface, and seven of those came in straight sets. Like today’s opponent, Iga dropped one set on her way to the final.
Although Sabalenka should cause all sorts of problems for Iga Swiatek in this match, we’re siding with the current World number 1 for the title. The 21 year old has an impressive resume on clay; she has played in seven clay court finals, winning six of them. As a matter of fact, Iga won all of her last six finals on this surface, including two grand slam titles. Furthermore, the Polish player has faced Aryna Sabalenka three times on clay courts, and she won all three encounters. On that note, we are fairly confident that she’ll win the Mutua Madrid Open title.
Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-head
This will be the ninth meeting between these players, and their eighth in competitive fixtures. Iga Swiatek currently leads the head-to-head with a 6-2 record overall, and 5-2 in competitive matches. It’s also important to point out that these players have met three times on clay courts; twice on indoor clay courts and once outdoors. Iga Swiatek has a perfect 3-0 record against Sabalenka on this surface. These are the results of the last five skirmishes between these players in competitive matches:
- 23/04/23 Swiatek won 2-0 (Stuttgart, Indoor Clay)
- 07/11/22 Sabalenka won 2-1 (WTA Finals, Outdoor Hard)
- 09/09/22 Swiatek won 2-1 (US Open, Outdoor Hard)
- 14/05/22 Swiatek won 2-0 (Rome, Outdoor Clay)
- 24/02/22 Swiatek won 2-0 (Doha, Outdoor Hard)
Iga Swiatek – The Journey So Far
- Semi-final vs Kudermetova – won 2-0
- Quarter-final vs Martic – won 2-0
- Round of 16 vs Alexandrova – won 2-1
- Round of 32 vs Pera – won 2-0
- Round of 64 vs Grabher – won 2-0
Aryna Sabalenka – The Journey So Far
- Semi-final vs Sakkari – won 2-0
- Quarter-final vs Sherif – won 2-1
- Round of 16 vs Andreeva – won 2-0
- Round of 32 vs Osorio Serrano – won 2-0
- Round of 64 vs Cirstea – won 2-0
Frequently Asked Questions About the Mutua Madrid Open
- How many ranking points will the winner of the Mutua Madrid Open get? Whoever wins this tournament will get 1000 WTA ranking points, along with €1,105,265.
- Who won the Mutua Madrid Open last year? Ons Jabeur is the defending champion of this tournament.
- Is it possible to watch the Mutua Madrid Open in the UK? Of course. This tournament will be broadcast on Amazon Prime for fans in the United Kingdom.
- Who is the pre-tournament favourite to win the Mutua Madrid Open? Iga Swiatek is the outre favourite to win this tournament.
- On which surface will the Mutua Madrid Open be played? Matches at the Mutua Madrid Open will be played on red clay courts.
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