US Open 2023 odds – who are the main favourites?

The 2023 US Open is right around the corner, and talk of who might win is heating up. Can the new rising Spanish power Carlos Alcaraz defend his maiden Grand Slam title? Will Djokovic win his 24th Slam and end a 5-year Flushing Meadows drought? Is Coco Gauff ready for it? Will Aryna Sabalenka’s brute power give her the edge? Below, we look at the top 4 favourites both from the Men’s and the Ladies’ side of the competition.

Alcaraz Djokovic scaled
Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

Leading 2023 US Open favourites for the Men’s and Women’s Singles

To show you the main favourites for both of these events, the best way of doing this is to look at the outright betting odds for the four main favourites both at the men’s and the women’s side of the draw. This reveals what the major bookmakers think regarding who has the best chance of winning the 2023 US Open. Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz seem to be neck and neck right now in the men’s singles. In the ladies competition, the world number 1 and 2 Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka have a slight edge.

Men’s Singles 2023 US Open favourites

Certain players have enjoyed more success at US Open than others. As for the main favourites in the men’s singles, the bookmakers have produced the following odds:

  • Novak Djokovic – 6/5 (2.20)
  • Carlos Alcaraz – 7/4 (2.75)
  • Daniil Medvedev – 9/1 (10.00)
  • Jannik Sinner – 12/1 (13.00)

Novak Djokovic

There is a reason why Novak’s odds are so low. Djokovic might have not lifted the US Open title since 2018 but he was prevented from playing for the last 2 years due to COVID restrictions and he is the only multiple champion in the field. Nole has 3 US Open triumphs in his career. Djokovic lost the Wimbledon final in 5 sets to Alcaraz recently but in the last event before the US Open, he beat the Spaniard to claim the Cincinnati title and the Serb looks very good on a hard surface right now. Can anyone stop Nole from his 24th Grand Slam title? The bookies believe there is only one man that could do that and he is their second favourite.

Carlos Alcaraz

The second favourite is Carlos Alcaraz. The young Spaniard won his first major title exactly a year ago when just age 19 he triumphed at the 2022 US Open. Alcaraz established himself as a tennis great only a few months ago when he won his second Grand Slam at Wimbledon. The talented youngster beat Djokovic in 5 sets on that day and he is the only player on the Tour right now that can compete with the Serb over prolonged 4+ hour battles.

Daniil Medvedev

The Russian powerhouse Daniil Medvedev returns to US Open with the ex-number 1 winning his only Grand Slam so far exactly at Flushing Meadows back in 2021. Medvedev also reached the final in 2019 and the semis in 2022 so he clearly loves playing in New York. We think Medvedev can be a danger to both Djokovic and Alcaraz on a good day and on his favourite surface. The big question is can he beat both in the same tournament?

Jannik Sinner

The 4th of the main favourites is the young Italian Jannik Sinner. Sinner loves playing on hard courts and he just reached his highest ATP ranking of 6th after a successful summer in America. Still, the 22-year-old lacks the experience and endurance to win a Grand Slam it seems. He’s been past the quarterfinals only once in his 15 Grand Slam appearances so far, this year’s Wimbledon saw him reach the semis. He’s never played in a Grand Slam final and lost in round 1 in 2 of his 4 previous US Open main draw appearances.

Women’s Singles 2023 US Open Favourites

The women’s competition promises to be very close with even the bookies hardly able to split the top 4 favourites as the odds below show.

  • Iga Swiatek – 5/2 (3.50)
  • Aryna Sabalenka – 4/1 (5.00)
  • Coco Gauff – 15/2 (8.50)
  • Elena Rybakina – 17/2 (9.50)

Iga Swiatek

Naturally, the world number 1 Swiatek and defending US Open champion from last year is the main favourite again. Swiatek comes to Flushing Meadows in shaky form though. The Pole failed to make it past the quarterfinals in 2 of the first 3 Grand Slams this year. She has also failed to make it past round 4 in her first 3 US Open appearances before lifting the title last year. Still, she is the only 4-time Grand Slam winner on the field and is the world number 1 so that’s why she is the pre-tournament favourite.

Aryna Sabalenka

The world number 2 Aryna Sabalenka has been the most consistent player on the WTA Tour for a full year now. Sabalenka has now recorded 4 consecutive Grand Slam runs to at least the semifinals. She started that during last year’s US Open and made it to the last 4 in all 3 Slams this year too. Not just that but she won her first Grand Slam in February when she lifted the 2023 Australian Open title.

Sabalenka is the main favourite for many as she has back-to-back semifinals at Flushing Meadows and her win/loss record at Grand Slams shows that the US Open is her most successful of the lot with a 75% win ratio for Sabalenka (15 wins and 5 defeats).

Coco Gauff

Coco Gauff 3 scaled
Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

The third favourite for the title is the young American Coco Gauff who comes into the tournament only number 6th in the world but on the back of a very strong summer and a title in Cincinnati. Gauff reached the semifinals of both the Australian and the French Open this year. She might have lost in round 1 at Flushing Meadows last year but back in 2021, she was contesting the match for the title. So is the 19-year-old American finally ready to lift her first Grand Slam title?

Elena Rybakina

The world number 4 Elena Rybakina is probably a surprising inclusion on this list. The Kazakh has a 3-4 win/loss record at US Open. She’s never been past round 3 in any of her 4 previous appearances and yet the bookies see her as a potential winner. Rybakina reached the 2023 Australian Open final and won the 2022 Wimbledon so she is capable of long runs at Slams. The question here is can she do that on the fast hard courts of Flushing Meadows?

The 2023 US Open is upon us and we can’t wait to see which man and which woman will be smiling broadest at the end of it all.

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About the author


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball careers as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early.

Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passion, writing. For over a decade, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise.