Tommy Paul vs Jack Draper prediction and odds: Australian Open 2024

Tommy Paul vs Jack Draper prediction and odds: Australian Open 2024

Have you checked out our most recent tennis predictions today for the 2024 Australian Open? We have plenty for the upcoming round-two matches. Yet for this one, the focus is to provide you with some high-value Paul vs Draper predictions for this upcoming battle in Melbourne.

Our favourite Tommy Paul vs Jack Draper predictions

This match between Tommy Paul and Jack Draper should be an entertaining one. They’ve played twice before, and it’s Draper who has come out on top both times. However, Tommy Paul made the semi-finals here in 2023, and he certainly had a more comfortable passage to the second round than Draper.

So, how does this impact my Paul vs Draper predictions? Let me show you.

Paul to win @ 4/6 (1.67)

As mentioned above, Jack Draper has beaten Tommy Paul in both of their previous matches. But with Paul making the semi-finals last year and with Draper enduring a tough five-set contest in round one, I favour the American here. Adding to that, Draper immediately vomited after winning his first-round contest, so one has to wonder what kind of physical state he is in.

Paul -1.5 set handicap @ 4/6 (1.67)

Although I believe that Tommy Paul will win this time around, I am more than aware of how dangerous Jack Draper’s game can be. He has a big serve, and he isn’t afraid to go after the ball, which could help him snag a set from Tommy Paul. But ultimately, I think that Paul will win this match either 3-0 or 3-1, which satisfies this market.

Tommy Paul vs Jack Draper odds

Because of the moneyline odds, Paul has a 60% probability of winning this match. As for Draper, his implied chance of victory is just 46.50%.

14th seed looking to prevent a third straight loss to Draper

Before these two do battle at Melbourne Park on January 18th, let me share a preview for each guy:

Tommy Paul preview

If you look at the 2024 Australian Open draw, Tommy Paul has to fancy his chances. In fact, if he overcomes Draper, he should make the 4th round or even further. This could well give the 14th seed extra motivation, and he has to be feeling better than his British opponent having spent just over 1.5 hours on court in round one.

Jack Draper preview

Draper has started the 2024 season well. He made the finals in Auckland prior to the Australian Open, and he actually beat Tommy Paul in that tournament. But I have to say, I fear for his fitness and physicality based on what I witnessed after he took down Giron in 3 hours and 20 minutes in round one. 

Paul vs Draper head to head

Draper will be the more comfortable of the two players in this department, as he holds a 2-0 lead over Tommy Paul. In fact, both times they’ve played have been in Australia, and Paul has yet to take a set from Draper. However, Grand Slam tennis is a different beast, so this match should be very interesting indeed.

Key match details

Paul vs Draper prediction Australian Open

  • Match Schedule – January 18th, 01:30 GMT
  • Venue – Melbourne, Australia
  • Viewing Options – Eurosport, Discovery+

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