Tommy Paul vs Ben Shelton prediction and odds: US Open 2023

Tommy Paul vs Ben Shelton prediction and odds: US Open 2023
Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA - Photo by Icon sport

As the US Open action continues an all-American battle for the right to play in week 2 is about to take place. In a repeat of this year’s Australian Open quarterfinal Tommy Paul takes on the flamboyant Ben Shelton as both players enter the match full of hope and ambition. Don’t miss out on the latest updates and expert betting advice for the US Open 2023.

Our favourite Tommy Paul vs Ben Shelton match predictions

Both Paul and Shelton have been struggling for consistency since their great runs at the Australian Open this year. That said, Tommy Paul has been pretty decent on hard courts so he comes into the match as the clear favourite.

Prediction 1: Ben Shelton to win a set @ 8/15 (1.53)

The big-serving Ben Shelton won a set in the only previous meeting between the two in Melbourne early this year. His great serve makes him a solid player on hard surfaces and despite losing many matches between the first and the last Grand Slam of the year Shelton often forced decisive sets in 3-set scenarios.

Our belief that Shelton will win a set is also backed by the fact that Paul failed to record a clean win in any of his opening 3 rounds at this year’s US Open.

Prediction 2: Over 37.5 total games @ 3/4 (1.75)

There were well over 40 games in the only previous encounter between the two in Melbourne. Shelton’s ability to hit aces makes him a hard player to break and he has played the fifth most amount of tiebreaks this calendar year.

Considering that both Paul and Shelton are not accustomed to winning matches 3-0 and both know how to hold their own serves we believe that the coming match will also go above 37.5 total games, just as it happened in Melbourne.

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Will it be Melbourne all over again?

Our predictions for this match have now been established, let’s see how these players have fared so far this season for the latest tennis betting tips and predictions here.

Tommy Paul preview

Tommy Paul has been far from impressive in the first 3 rounds. He dropped a set against a player ranked outside the world’s top 200 to start the tournament. Then had to come from the brink at 0-2 down to beat the unseeded Russian Safiullin. In round 3 the world number 13 dropped a set again vs Davidovich Fokina.

Despite all this wobbly form, Tommy Paul remains a very solid hard-court player and he boasts a 25-9 record on this surface this year. He recently beat even the world number 1 Carlos Alcaraz at the Toronto Masters and then pushed the Spaniard to 3 sets in the following Cincinnati Masters.

Oh, and Paul comes into this match on a run of 5 consecutive wins against left-handed opponents. The first of those against Shelton in Melbourne.

Ben Shelton preview

Ben Shelton is turning into a Grand Slam wonder. The young American reached the Australian Open quarterfinals early this year to burst into the top 100. However, he hasn’t won back-to-back matches since then until the US Open.

Shelton dropped a set in both rounds 1 and 3, while he won the first-set tiebreak in round 2 against the wounded veteran Dominic Thiem and the Austrian retired after that.

It seems Shelton’s ability to hit a high volume of aces on hard surfaces is very helpful in 5-set scenarios. However, Shelton has lost all of his last 7 matches against top-20 players, with 6 of those defeats coming this year.

Paul vs Shelton head-to-head

The only previous meeting between the two took place early this year at the Australian Open quarterfinals. Paul won that match in 4 sets – 7-6(6), 6-3, 5-7, 6-4.

Key match details

Ben Shelton 1 scaled
Photo by Corinne Dubreuil/ABACAPRESS.COM – Photo by Icon sport
  • When will this match start? This match starts at 17:00 GMT on September 03th.
  • What is the prize money for US Open 2023? The total prize money for US Open 2023 is $65,000,020.
  • Who is the top seed of the US Open? Carlos Alcaraz is the top seed at US Open 2023.

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