Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction and odds: US Open 2023

Tommy Paul US Open

This should be one of the most entertaining third-round matches of the 2023 US Open. It’s the 14th seed, Tommy Paul, taking on the 21st seed, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, in what will be their third meeting. So what are my tennis predictions today for this match? Read on for full details.

Our favourite Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions

As noted, this could be a very tight contest. Both guys are playing spectacular tennis at the moment, and the match has all the makings of a possible blockbuster. However, despite how tight the match might be, I’ve still found a couple of valuable ATP US Open 2023 predictions for you to consider ahead of this third-round battle.

Over 38.5 games @ 4/5 (1.80)

At the moment, I feel that these two guys are very evenly matched. They have somewhat similar game styles too, which means that it’s very possible for them to split sets or even go the distance. For that reason, an over 38.5 games pick seems a logical play.

Paul to win more than 1 set – yes @ 4/11 (1.36)

If I had to pick a winner, I’d pick Tommy Paul by the smallest of margins. However, as I’ve stated above, this match really could go either way. So rather than taking a punt on what could be a coin-flip outcome, it’s better to shoot for Tommy Paul to win more than 1 set. This means if he wins at least a couple of sets, even if he loses the match, this market would be a winner.

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Two evenly matched seeds bidding for a fourth-round appearance in the US Open

Want to take a look behind the curtain and learn a little more about these players? Check out the previews shared here.

Tommy Paul preview

Thanks to his tournament results in recent times, Tommy Paul is now ranked 14 in the world. And don’t forget, he took out the world number one, Carlos Alcaraz just a couple of weeks ago. This shows that when he is playing well, he can hang with the best of them. Furthermore, he will have significant home support for this match.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview

Much like Tommy Paul, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has been playing out of his skin recently. He has shown to everyone that he is much more than just a great clay court player, and at 21 in the rankings, he has plenty more to come in his career. However, he has lost to Tommy Paul in both of their previous meetings.

Paul vs Davidovich Fokina head to head

The head-to-head looks pretty solid for Tommy Paul at 2-0 in his favour. Both of these matches were played in 2023 too – one at the Australian Open and one in Miami. At the Aussie Open, Paul won in five sets, yet in Miami, he won in straights. 

Key match details

Davidovich Fokina US Open

  • Match Schedule – September 1st, 17:15 GMT
  • Venue – New York, USA
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports

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About the author

Gavin Davison

Gavin is a full-time copywriter based in the United Kingdom. He has previously played NCAA college tennis in the USA and competed in many international events throughout his younger days. He still plays competitively and follows both the ATP & WTA Tours closely. His favourite player is Roger Federer.