Taylor Fritz vs Grigor Dimitrov prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Taylor Fritz vs Grigor Dimitrov prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

We’re officially into the second week of the 2024 Italian Open, and it’s all to play for in the men’s singles. That said, my tennis predictions today focus on Fritz vs Dimitrov – a mouthwatering fourth-round clash that could go either way. Read on to see what markets are most appropriate to cover for this one.

Our favourite Taylor Fritz vs Grigor Dimitrov predictions

This is a battle of the seeds in the men’s singles – the 11th vs the 8th seed, to be precise. Dimitrov is the higher-seeded of the two despite being the underdog based on the moneyline odds. And in my opinion, this creates an advantage in terms of which markets we can cover for this one – as the following tips highlight:

Dimitrov to win a set – yes @ 10/21 (1.48)

Given that Grigor Dimitrov has beaten Taylor Fritz on clay in their most recent meeting, I see no reason to avoid this market. To add to that, he has looked to be hitting the ball well in the Italian Open so far. Therefore, if he brings the same level against Fritz, he can certainly take a set from the American – if not more.

Three total sets @ 5/4 (2.25)

It’s always somewhat risky going for three total sets in a ‘best of three’ match. But when you look at how tight both of the previous meetings have been with these two, there’s a very strong chance that this one could go the distance.

Taylor Fritz vs Grigor Dimitrov odds

As the favourite, Fritz has a 62.50% chance of winning this one. But for Dimitrov, his probability of victory is 45.50%. 

Third showdown between Fritz and Dimitrov coming up in Rome

Let’s look a little closer now at how things are shaping up for Fritz and Dimitrov for this match.

Taylor Fritz preview

Fritz has enjoyed a solid few weeks concerning clay court tournaments. He made the semis in Madrid, and he has now produced a couple of solid wins to make the last 16 in Rome. However, I still question whether he truly feels comfortable on this surface, and this puts him at risk against a guy like Grigor Dimitrov.

Grigor Dimitrov preview

Dimitrov has arguably had the easier passage into round four in Rome of these two. And this could work in his favour, as he should be feeling fresh and ready for the challenge against Fritz. Furthermore, given that he didn’t perform too well in the first two Masters 1000 clay court events in 2024, he will be hungry to take out Fritz for the second time in a row here.

Fritz vs Dimitrov head to head

The head to head between these two stands at 1-1. And interestingly, both of their previous meetings have been on clay. Dimitrov won the most recent encounter between the two in Geneva in 2023, however, which might give him a mental edge here.

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 14th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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